Stoke (home)
- Stoke have lost two of their last five Championship games (W2, D1).
- Mark Robins has Stoke playing with a very pragmatic and transition-based style of soccer that involves setting up with a compact structure, playing quickly in possession when they get the ball, and trying to pin opponents back with their wide attacking players.
- Stoke have won nine, drawn six and lost six of their 21 home Championship games this term, conceding 22 goals in 21 games.
Millwall (away)
- Millwall have won one, drawn two and lost two of their last five.
- Alex Neil has Millwall playing a more direct and physical brand of soccer, with high pressing, aerial dominance and strength for second balls.
- Millwall have lost just four of their 21 Championship away games this season (W10, D7).
- Alex Neil’s men won 2-0 at home in this Championship meeting five months ago and are also unbeaten in their last three on the road, a sequence that includes a superb 0-0 draw at West Brom recently.
Head-to-Head
- Millwall have won the last 3 of the 5 most recent head-to-head matchups (D2, L0).
- Stoke haven’t won either of the last two home meetings.
Key Players
- Sorba Thomas has been a revelation for Stoke this season with ten goals in 41 Championship appearances and is their most reliable attacking weapon from wide areas.
- Josh Coburn has been in good goalscoring form for Millwall, having scored three in his last five games.
- But the Lion’s most reliable source of goals this campaign has been Mihailo Ivanovic, who has nine in 40 Championship appearances.
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Recent form (quick reference):
- Sorba Thomas - 10 goals in 41 appearances.
- Josh Coburn - 3 in last 5 games.
- Mihailo Ivanovic - 9 in 40 appearances.
Betting Insights
- At odds of 2.43, the Millwall away win looks the better bet here because the Lions are in good form away from home (W1, D2) and fancied to continue their recent dominance in this fixture.
- But the main reason I’m favoring the away win is that Millwall have beaten Stoke three of the last five and Stoke haven’t won either of the last two home meetings.
Prediction
Millwall to take the edge - a narrow away win looks most likely given their recent record against Stoke and superior away form.
