Henan FC
- Henan FC are winless in their last 5 league games (D1, L4), losing 0-3 to Shanghai Shenhua in their most recent game at home.
- Henan FC are currently sitting 13th in the 2026 Chinese Super League season with just 2 points from their opening 8 games, and their current form suggests it is only going to get worse.
- The hosts’ build-up play is highly structured and morphable in Daniel Ramos’ 4-2-3-1 system, a scheme which encourages the ball to be on the ground and allows Ramos’ midfielders to rotate around a targetman.
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After 4 home league games in the Chinese Super League 2026, Henan FC have won once, tied once, and lost twice, scoring an average of 0.75 goals per-game and conceding 1.5 goals per-game.
- Home record: won once, tied once, lost twice
- Home goals per game: 0.75 scored, 1.5 conceded
Liaoning Tieren FC
- Liaoning Tieren FC are without a win in their last 3 Chinese Super League 2026 away games (D1, L2).
- Liaoning Tieren FC have achieved a more impressive 8th place with 7 points from their 8 games so far in the 2026 season.
- Jinyu Li’s 4-2-3-1 is a direct, transition-based scheme where the front 3 are aggressive, physical runners.
- Liaoning Tieren have lost their last 3 league games, leaving them with 1 win from their last 5 (W1, D1, L3).
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Away from home in the Chinese Super League 2026, they have drawn once and lost 4 of their 5 games, scoring an average of 0.4 and conceding 1.8 per-game.
- Away record: D1, L4
- Away goals per game: 0.4 scored, 1.8 conceded
Betting Insights
- The over 2.5 goals market looks too short at 1.84, considering both of these sides are struggling for goals and form.
- Henan come into this as narrow favorites at 1.94, but the visitors are available at 3.87.
Prediction
- Firstly, Henan have the home edge and better defensive stats in terms of goals scored and conceded.
- Second, this fixture pits a possession-based system against an aggression-based, transition system and we think Henan’s rotations will struggle against Liaoning’s relentless press.
- A draw or narrow Henan win seems the most likely result, but with the visitors in such good value, we’re going for a narrow Liaoning win on the double chance bet.
