Gremio
Recent form:
- Gremio Porto Alegrense RS are a slight favorite to see off Atletico Mineiro in Serie A 2026 on Thursday, but the visitors could make life difficult for the home side.
- Luis Castro’s side sit 13th in Serie A 2026 after taking three points from a possible nine, two places and one point ahead of Atletico.
- Castro has installed a vertical-possession style of soccer that is both structured and attacking, using two pivots to provide a platform of creativity and vertical progression.
- The wide full-backs are pushed on to stretch the field and the ball plays are fast and flowing with plenty of players making forward runs, although they have also shown that they can sit deep and soak up pressure.
- Two wins.
- Two draws.
- One defeat.
Atletico Mineiro
Recent away form:
- Atletico Mineiro have won two of their last three away games in all competitions but failed to score and lost their only Serie A 2026 away game.
- Eduardo Domínguez looks set to move away from Sampaoli’s all-out pressing and free-flowing attacking play to a more pragmatic, defensively compact approach that relies on sharp transitions.
- The two wide attackers will be key for Atletico to get forward and create the sort of situations where they can cause problems on the counter attack.
- Won two of their last three away games in all competitions.
- Failed to score and lost their only Serie A 2026 away match.
Head-to-Head
The two clubs have met five times in all competitions since the start of last season with Atletico edging the rivalry with three wins to Gremio’s two .
Key Players
- The two wide attackers will be key for Atletico to create counter-attacking opportunities.
- Gremio’s two pivots provide the platform for creativity and vertical progression.
- Gremio’s wide full-backs are important for stretching the field and supporting forward runs.
Betting Insights
- Backing the Under 2.5 goals market at 1.83 looks the best play for this game as both sides have averaged 1.5 goals per game in these fixtures.
- Gremio are the slight favorites at 2.22.
- Atletico are 3.2 and the draw is 3.25.
Prediction
- Expect a midfield battle with goals likely at a premium.
- A cautious play on Under 2.5 looks sensible given both teams’ tendencies and Atletico’s transitional phase.
