Fenerbahce (Home)
- Fenerbahce SK are 2nd in the Super Lig table with 52 points from 22 matches, Kasimpasa are 15th with 19 points, hovering near the relegation zone.
- Fenerbahce are unbeaten in ten Super Lig home games this season (W7, D3) and have won two and lost one of their last three matches in all competitions.
- Fenerbahce SK are the clear favorites for Monday’s Istanbul derby against Kasimpasa with the visitors the clear underdogs at 9.6.
- The hosts are 1.24 for the win with the bookmakers, but the oddsmakers could be on the low side for a game that will be a lot closer.
- Domenico Tedesco has done a fantastic job at the helm of Fenerbahce since taking over in September 2025, instilling an identity of heavy metal pressing and structured possession with a team that is as tough to break down as it is brilliant to watch when the players can rotate and press home their numerical advantage.
- Their high-octane game suits them particularly well in Istanbul where Fenerbahce have won seven and drawn three of their ten Super Lig home matches to date.
- They are unbeaten at home this season and have notched an impressive 23 goals in ten league games at Şükrü Saracoğlu.
Kasimpasa (Away)
- Kasimpasa’s style is very different from Fenerbahce’s as they are much more direct and likely to counter-attack this game than look to dominate possession or play an intricate, positional game.
- Emre Belozoglu has been in charge of the club since December 2025 and is still in the process of stamping his style on the team.
- They are in a state of transition, but appear to lack a real cutting edge.
- Pape Habib Gueye, who has scored five in 20 Super Lig games this season, is the most dangerous player they have, but Kasimpasa have only managed to score ten times in 11 away league games this season.
- Their overall form has been mixed, winning one, drawing one and losing three of their last five matches.
- They have lost their last two games on the road and have no recent record to make anyone think they can win at Şükrü Saracoğlu.
Head-to-Head
Fenerbahce have won one and drawn one of the last two head-to-head Super Lig meetings between the clubs with the last clash, which was a 1-1 tie, coming five months ago.
Key Players
Pape Habib Gueye, who has scored five in 20 Super Lig games this season , is the most dangerous player Kasimpasa have.
Betting Insights
There is a lot to like about the Over 2.5 goals market at 1.53 and it is certainly likely given Fenerbahce’s attacking talents, but the home advantage and Tedesco’s tactical control should be enough to see them take the win.
Prediction
Fenerbahce’s home advantage, unbeaten league run at Şükrü Saracoğlu and attacking firepower suggest they should claim the win.
