Luzern
- FC Luzern have two wins and three defeats in their last five games in all competitions, with their most impressive result during this period being the 4-0 Super League away win over Lausanne-Sports.
- The hosts will have to improve their home form to maintain any hope of challenging for a European spot before the end of the regular season, having won just one of their nine Super League games at home this term, drawing four and losing the other four.
- Coach Mario Frick, who took over in December 2021, has put together a compact team with plenty of discipline and young talent that can play fast transitions.
Lugano
- Lugano, who are currently third, five places above Luzern in the table, have Kevin Behrens, who has six Super League goals in 19 appearances - the same tally as Luzern’s Lucas Ferreira.
- Head coach Mattia Croci-Torti has built a patient, possession-based team since taking charge in September 2021 that can overload the wings and pick a spot on goal after a slow build-up.
- Their high pressing game is selective and they will try to control the flow of the game and seize their moments when they arrive.
Recent meetings
Lugano have won all three of the last H2H encounters, including a 2-0 home win against Luzern two months ago in the Super League.
Key Players
- Kevin Behrens has six Super League goals in 19 appearances for Lugano.
- Lucas Ferreira has six league goals for Luzern.
- Lars Villiger has hit form for Luzern, scoring three of their last seven goals across the last five games.
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Player focus:
- Kevin Behrens - three of his six league goals in the last five.
- Lars Villiger - three goals in Luzern’s recent scoring run.
Betting Insights
- Over 2.5 goals is 1.62 and looks a solid stake with both teams in fine goalscoring form.
- Lugano’s last two defeats, 2-1 at 1. FC Köln and 2-4 at home to FC Viktoria Plzen (AET), don’t give much confidence that they can win on the road.
- Lugano’s odds of 2.4 are just about right considering the form, head-to-head and league positions, while FC Luzern are marginally overpriced at 2.7.
Prediction
There is a psychological edge to this fixture as they have failed to win either of their last two home games against Lugano, so we’re taking the visitors to win a closely fought game at 2.4 .
