Augsburg
- Augsburg (13th, 22 points from 21 games) welcome Heidenheim (18th, 13 points) in a bottom-six relegation battle that could be crucial in the contest for Bundesliga survival in 2025-2026.
- Manuel Baum has been at the helm of Augsburg since December 2025 and he has brought a more pragmatic and disciplined structure to the club.
- Augsburg’s high-pressing system from before his appointment didn’t work and was quickly abandoned as he focused on keeping a compact shape, managing the risk of transitions and situational pressing.
- Augsburg’s most notable result under Baum was the shock 2-1 win away at Bayern Munich, which they backed up with a 2-1 home win over fellow strugglers St. Pauli last time out.
- Augsburg have won two, drawn two and lost just one of their last five and, in Fabian Rieder (3 goals in 19 Bundesliga games), they have an important driving force in midfield.
Heidenheim
- Long-serving Heidenheim manager Frank Schmidt is known for his tactical flexibility and his 2025/26 team have a clear system with wing-back overloads in build-up play and direct vertical transitions.
- There is a problem at the other end however, where Heidenheim’s aggressive pressing and forward transitions are often left open when they lose the ball.
- Stefan Schimmer has been Heidenheim’s main attacking focal point this season with five goals in 16 Bundesliga appearances.
- The visitors have lost three straight Bundesliga matches, most recently a 3-2 defeat away to Borussia Dortmund.
Head-to-Head
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The hosts have a much better home record in the Bundesliga this season (W4, D3, L4) and have won three of the last five head-to-heads, with Heidenheim winless in their last two trips to Augsburg.
- Augsburg have not lost in their last 3 Bundesliga home games (W1, D2).
- Heidenheim are winless in their last 5 Bundesliga games (L4, D1).
- Heidenheim are without a win in their last 3 Bundesliga away games (D1, L2).
Betting Insights
- There is not much to like about Heidenheim’s form heading into this game and, while Augsburg are in decent form, it’s hard to understand why they are such a long shot (1.85) to beat the visitors while Heidenheim are in at 3.95 and the draw at 3.6.
- Backing Augsburg to get the win and keep the momentum in their favour on Sunday looks like the smart move here, and the Over 2.5 goals market at 1.7 appeals when considering the home side’s return of 14 goals in 11 games at the WWK Arena and Heidenheim’s average of 2.3 conceded on the road.
Prediction
Backing Augsburg to get the win and for the game to produce Over 2.5 goals is the recommended play.
