FC Alverca
- FC Alverca have won five of their 12 home league games, drawing three and losing four.
- FC Alverca average 0.92 goals per game scored and 1.33 per game conceded at home.
- Custodio Castro’s side have drawn four and lost one of their last five, including three straight draws, and they’re consolidating their position in the Portuguese top flight.
AVS Futebol SAD
- AVS Futebol SAD sit bottom of the Primeira Liga 2025/2026 with just nine points from 24 games, eighteen fewer than their opponents on Saturday, FC Alverca, who are 10th.
- AVS Futebol SAD have not won any of their 11 Primeira Liga 2025/2026 away games, losing nine and drawing only two.
- AVS Futebol SAD have conceded 34 away goals, at an average of 3.09 per away game in the league this season.
- Joao Henriques took over as manager in December 2025, but he’s yet to find the formula to steady the ship as the club continue to drift.
Key Players
- Marko Milovanovic leads the line for Alverca with 7 Primeira Liga 2025/2026 goals in 23 appearances and is always a threat.
- Lucas Figueiredo has scored twice in the last five matches.
- Nene is AVS's top scorer in the Primeira Liga, with the winger netting four times in 17 appearances.
- Diego Duarte has scored two goals in his last five for the club.
Betting Insights
- 2.03 for Over 2.5 goals looks generous for a fixture that looks likely to feature plenty of goals.
- Both teams to score at 1.87 is also an excellent value.
- 1.77 for a home win seems accurate given that the hosts are a far superior team.
Prediction
- Custodio Castro’s Alverca have been a much improved side since he took over as head coach in July 2025, largely thanks to their aggressive, high-pressing style that gets their youthful players to force turnovers and attack with speed and intensity.
- AVS Futebol SAD will aim to frustrate Alverca with a compact, low block, but they’ll surely be breached several times by the home team’s relentless attacking press.
- Given form, trends and the quoted prices, backing Alverca (home win) and expecting goals looks the sensible play.
