Alverca
- Alverca are 10th in the Primeira Liga table after 19 games with 23 points.
- The Canarinhos have lost four and won five of their 10 home Primeira Liga games, averaging 0.90 goals per game scored and 1.40 conceded.
- In their two most recent home games, Custódio Castro’s side beat Famalicao 1-0 and Moreirense 2-1 before getting pummeled 5-0 away to Braga.
Estrela Amadora
- Estrela Amadora are 13th after taking 19 points from their 19 matches.
- Estrela boss Joao Nuno has taken more of a measured approach to the Primeira Liga since taking charge in September, but it is not working for them.
- Nuno’s team has been slipping down the table with one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five.
Key Players
- Estrela’s possession game will test Alverca’s more risk-taking style, which depends on wing-backs running hard and making plenty of space for their three central players to push forward.
- However, Estrela’s more patient build-up play and tendency to dribble through the thirds will test the home side’s defensive patience and organisation in central areas.
- Jovane Cabral has scored three of Estrela Amadora’s last six goals.
- In Kikas, who has six goals in 17 Primeira Liga appearances, they have a threat to trouble Alverca’s defense.
- Milovanovic has five in 18 for the home team, so he looks a good pick to make an impact in this game.
Betting Insights
With both teams to score set at 1.8 , we expect to see plenty of chances at both ends given Estrela’s recent defensive issues and Alverca’s home edge.
Prediction
Take the hosts, who are the favorites at 2.1 , to edge a close game in a game with plenty of momentum for both teams and their respective managers.