CA Paranaense PR (Home)
- CA Paranaense PR have won 6 of their 7 home games in Serie A 2026, scoring 15 goals
- They play with lots of width, movement and tempo, and at home, where they are unbeaten in three (W2, D1), they will press high and look to win the ball back quickly
Gremio Porto Alegrense RS (Away)
- Gremio Porto Alegrense RS have yet to win on the road in Serie A 2026 (D2, L5)
- There is a clear contrast in recent form, as Gremio have won two in a row, including a 1-0 victory over Coritiba FC PR in Serie A 2026, while Athletico have won just two of their last five (W2, D1, L2)
- They will set up in a compact shape, control possession and look to press when necessary, but the chances to press will be few and far between
Betting Insights
Francis Amuzu has been Gremio’s primary threat, scoring 2 of their 4 goals in the last five matches for the visitors, so I am going to take the odds of 1.9 for Athletico to get the win and add the more tempting ‘Yes’ option in the ‘Both Teams to Score’ market at 1.81 and ‘Over 2.5 goals’ at 2.01 to the bet
Prediction
With Gremio conceding an average of 1.57 and scoring 0.57 per away game in Serie A 2026, a home win seems likely
