Burnley
- Burnley are winless in their last five Premier League matches (D1, L4).
- Scott Parker is another manager who likes his teams to be compact in possession, but he also likes his players to be patient and build from the back in a 4-2-3-1 system.
- Burnley have lost each of their last two home games and failed to beat Everton in their last three attempts on home turf.
Everton
- Everton have won one and lost one of their last two away matches.
- David Moyes is a pragmatist at heart and has set Everton up to be a mid-block 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3 system that is compact and hard to break down, proficient from set-piece scenarios and can play with real tempo on the transition.
- While the identity of these sides will be in the minds of the managers, the context of the matchup also adds an extra layer of importance as Burnley sit 19th in the table on 11 points after 17 rounds of Premier League action, while Everton are 10th on 24 points.
Head-to-Head
Everton have won the last three H2Hs, including a 3-0 win in the EFL Cup two years ago.
Key Players
- Flemming
- Flemming to score anytime is a decent bet as he is Burnley’s most dangerous player and the best outlet for them when they need to make something happen.
- The Dutchman has five Premier League goals this term and two in his last five games, so he looks the best bet in the goalscorer market.
- Iliman Ndiaye
- Everton’s top scorer in the league is in-form Iliman Ndiaye, who has four goals from 16 games, but he is too short in the betting for us.
- Dewsbury-Hall
- Dewsbury-Hall has scored two goals in his last five matches, however, and he can be a real threat to Burnley if he gets on a roll.
Betting Insights
- With Burnley having lost each of their last two home games and failing to beat Everton in their last three attempts on home turf, we think the Toffees are good value to win at 1.9.
- The Clarets are 4.1 in the outright betting for this encounter and that just doesn’t align with their current form or Everton’s recent superiority in this fixture.
- The Under 2.5 goals market appeals at 1.7 and this could easily end up being a low-scoring game between two teams that don’t score many and don’t concede too many, either.
- Burnley have conceded ten in eight home matches, averaging 1.25 goals conceded per match, while Everton have conceded the same amount in their eight away trips.
Prediction
- Everton to edge a close contest at Turf Moor.
- We think the Toffees are good value to win at 1.9 and expect a tight, low-scoring game.
