Burgos CF
- Burgos CF have won 2 and lost none of their last 2 home matches in LaLiga 2.
- Burgos sit 5th in the Spanish second tier with 53 points from 32 matches.
- Burgos have won four and drawn one of their last five matches, with their latest two fixtures both coming at home and being good enough to see off Cordoba (4-0) and Real Valladolid (2-1).
AD Ceuta FC
- AD Ceuta FC have 1 win and 2 losses in their last 3 away matches.
- Ceuta sit 8th with 47 points.
- Ceuta’s form has been a little more mixed, winning two and losing three of their last five LaLiga 2 fixtures, although they did take an emphatic 5-2 thrashing away to Leganes a couple of weeks ago before a 2-1 victory over Cadiz at home.
Key Players
- The ‘structure first’ mentality has made El Blanquillo one of the toughest sides in the division to break down, particularly at home where their double pivot holds up the back four nicely and allows them to play quick vertical passing when they win possession.
- Jose Juan Romero’s men are a completely different breed, with Ceuta’s 4-3-3 looking to press high up the field and overload the flanks before launching quick attacks to unbalance their opponents.
- The end product has been entertaining, but defensively fragile, particularly on the road where they’ve conceded 33 goals from 16 away fixtures.
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Key players:
- Marcos Fernandez is Ceuta’s most dangerous player by a mile with 11 goals in 26 league appearances and 4 of their last 5 have come from his boot.
- David Gonzalez is no slouch for Burgos with 9 goals in 31 games and he’ll be the man to watch in the home attack.
Betting Insights
Burgos have been fantastic defensively this season and average just 0.62 goals conceded per-home game in the league, so if they can keep Ceuta’s attacks at bay they will surely win the match.
Prediction
With so much riding on this fixture, we’re backing Burgos to hold firm in their own back yard and edge out the visitors, so we’re taking the odds-on odds for a home victory at 1.97 , along with over 2.5 goals at 2.2 .
