San Luis
San Luis have won two, drawn one and lost three of their six home matches this term across all competitions, so the home fortress is not a stronghold.
Cruz Azul
- Cruz Azul are unbeaten in their last five road games across all competitions (W3, D2), a run that has helped them reach this point.
- Cruz Azul have scored nine goals in their five road matches this season (across all competitions) - enough to nick the odd goal on the break and maintain pressure.
Head-to-Head
Cruz Azul have a head-to-head advantage over the home side, winning four of the last five meetings between the two clubs - while also unbeaten in their last ten matches across all competitions (W5, D5) - so there is a lot to like about a away win in this spot.
Key Players
Atletico's Joao Pedro has four of his team's six goals in the last five games and is their finishing power in the final third, while Cruz Azul have Christian Ebere scoring three of their nine goals in the last five matches, which has given them an extra edge in transition.
Betting Insights
- The odds are stacked in favour of the visitors, however, with Cruz Azul 1.85 to win while San Luis 3.89 to prevail and the draw at 3.62.
- There should be plenty of value in the alternate options of Over 2.5 goals and BTTS - Yes, which are priced at 1.74 and 1.64 respectively.
Prediction
They are rightly the bet in this one, but we are taking San Luis and their home crowd to keep this closer than the current odds reflect, which is why we are giving it a two-goal swing in Cruz Azul's favour in the correct score market.
