Atalanta Bergamo

vs

SSC Venezia

Preview

Atalanta (home)

• With 6 points from 5 games, Atalanta Bergamo lie 11th in Serie A 2026-2027, while Venezia have yet to earn a single point in 5 matches, lying 20th in the division after a nightmarish start to the campaign.
• The hosts lost 1-2 at home to Cagliari in the first match of that run, before a 2-0 defeat away to Juventus FC.
• Given Atalanta's mixed but ultimately concerning form (W2, L3 in their last 5), the odds look skewed in their favour, so La Dea are not a good bet at 1.54 to win.

Venezia (away)

• Atalanta are 2-0-1 at home in Serie A 2026/2027 and have conceded only 3 times in 3 home fixtures, while Venezia have taken only 2 away shots at survival this season, drawing 0 and losing 2 away.
• Venezia, although they have lost their last 5 in all competitions, against Frosinone, Fiorentina and Lazio, I think they could get a goal on the board.

Head-to-Head

• Atalanta have won 1 and drawn 1 in the last 2 head-to-head meetings, while La Dea failed to beat Venezia in their last home game against I Lagunari.
• A 0-0 draw at Bergamo between La Dea and I Lagunari in 2024/25 is the only previous encounter between the clubs in Serie A, however, the matchup on Monday could be more lopsided, as Atalanta bring a 3-game losing streak into the clash.

Key Players

• La Dea are a possession-first 4-3-3 side in Serie A 2026/2027, patient in their build-up and selective in their pressing, and with the likes of Ederson, who leads Atalanta's scoring chart (1 in 5), running at the opposition with real bite from deep.
• Gianluca Scamacca has been Atalanta's sharpest edge of late, scoring 2 of their 4 goals in their last 5 matches, while Akor Adams has been the most prolific I Lagunari striker, scoring 1 goal in 5 Serie A matches.
• Richie Sagrado has added a further 2 in Venezia's last 5 matches, so La Dea will be looking to keep a lid on their contribution, and Gianluca Busio has added 2 assists to his tally in 4 Serie A games.

Betting Insights

• Atalanta Bergamo are 1.54 favorites to beat Venezia, who are 5.6 at the New Balance Arena.
• I'm not confident of a Venezia win at 5.6, but rather backing the hosts to get the job done with over 2.5 goals in the game, as both teams to score looks a nice way to add to the odds on an Atalanta win.

Prediction

• The visitors will need to be bold on Monday and I do not expect a repeat of the 0-0 draw that these two sides played out in Bergamo in 2024/25.
• I think Atalanta will edge this one and the match should produce goals, so backing the hosts with over 2.5 goals and both teams to score is my preferred angle.