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  • +125 US
  • 6/9 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
AFC Ajax logo
1 - 1
Full-Time
NEC Nijmegen logo
Eredivisie
Netherlands
/
Eredivisie
/
Johan Cruijff ArenA

vs
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AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    1.31
    1X2
    AFC Ajax
    Lost
    Explanation
    • AFC Ajax averages 3.0 goals per match in Eredivisie 2026-2027, giving them the firepower to win at home.
    • Across their last 5 matches AFC Ajax scored in every game, including 5-1 and 4-0 wins, showing sharp form.
    • In the last 5 head-to-heads AFC Ajax avoided defeat 4 times, including a 2-1 away win, suggesting a home victory.
  • Tipped at
    1.26
    Over/Under
    Over 2.5
    Lost
    Explanation
    • AFC Ajax's games average 4.29 total goals this Eredivisie season, well above the 2.5 threshold.
    • Across AFC Ajax's last 5 matches their games averaged 4.8 goals, showing sustained recent high scoring.
    • Their last 5 head-to-heads averaged 3.2 goals, with multiple 3+ goal games, which supports Over 2.5.
  • Tipped at
    1.53
    Both Teams To Score
    Yes
    Won
    Explanation
    • Matches involving AFC Ajax have seen both teams score in 71.43% of cases and 100.0% at home this season.
    • Across NEC Nijmegen's away games both teams scored in 66.67% of trips, so NEC Nijmegen often nets on the road.
    • In their last 5 head-to-heads both teams scored in 4 of 5 meetings, reinforcing a likely BTTS Yes outcome.

Predictions

AFC Ajax (home)

  • AFC Ajax and NEC Nijmegen come into this Eredivisie 2026/2027 weekend fixture in 5th and 11th place respectively, having accrued 14 and 8 points from their opening seven league games.
  • They have 14 points from their seven Eredivisie 2026/2027 games, only losing once, and their most recent three results paint a picture of a team with a bite.
  • The Amsterdam giants ran riot on the road to put five past Fortuna Sittard, thrashed Willem II 5-1 at home and drew 2-2 with Excelsior at home.

NEC Nijmegen (away)

  • NEC have played a very different style under Dick Schreuder since he took the reins on 1 July 2025, with NEC playing with fearless aggression, regardless of the situation.
  • They've won two and lost one of their three away matches in the Eredivisie 2026/2027 and are scoring an average of 2.33 goals per game away from home while conceding an average of 1.67 per game.
  • NEC are a very forward-thinking team, with their wing-backs regularly appearing higher up the field than their forwards and their entire team constantly pressing for the ball.

Head-to-Head

  • 5th placed AFC Ajax are the form team here, winning three of their last five, but they are coming up against a plucky NEC side who will not roll over, with the last two H2Hs ending all square.
  • Ajax have failed to win any of their last three home games against NEC Nijmegen.

Key Players

Julian Brandt is the danger man for the hosts, with the ex-Bayern Munich man topping the Eredivisie 2026/2027 goalscoring charts with four goals in seven, while Tjaronn Chery is the NEC spark, having hit three goals in his first six appearances of the season.


Betting Insights

  • Ajax are the clear favorites to win here at 1.3, but that looks fair considering NEC are 7.9 and the tie is 5.8.
  • The home side are the likelier winner on the night, but with the tie factor and NEC's travelling style in mind, we're going with over 2.5 goals at 1.3 with both teams to score coming in at 1.55.

Prediction

  • The clash between Ajax's possession-heavy 4-3-3 and NEC's vertical 3-4-2-1 system should open this game up, but the more structured nature of the hosts should see them control it for the most part.
  • The home side are the likelier winner on the night, but with the tie factor and NEC's travelling style in mind, we're going with over 2.5 goals at 1.3 with both teams to score coming in at 1.55.

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Eredivisie Predictions

10 OCT SATURDAY

11 OCT SUNDAY

16 OCT FRIDAY

17 OCT SATURDAY

FAQ

  • AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen – Which team has the stronger record over their last 5 matches?

    Over their last 5 matches, AFC Ajax have tallied 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses. In the same span, NEC Nijmegen have managed 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats.

  • Who are the leading goal-getters for AFC Ajax and NEC Nijmegen in this Eredivisie 2026/2027 season?

    In the Eredivisie 2026/2027, Tolu Arokodare leads the scoring for AFC Ajax with 4 goals, while Tjaronn Chery tops the charts for NEC Nijmegen with 4 goals.

  • Who leads defensively this Eredivisie 2026/2027 season – AFC Ajax or NEC Nijmegen?

    The Eredivisie 2026/2027’s best defence belongs to AFC Ajax, who have shipped just 9 goals in 7 matches and kept 2 clean sheets. Their average goals conceded per game stands at only 1.29.

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