Heerenveen
- Heerenveen have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their 4 home Eredivisie 2026/2027 matches, averaging 0.75 goals scored and 1.25 goals conceded per game.
- De Superfriezen have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, a run that has seen them beat Excelsior 2-1 away in the Eredivisie 2025/2026 last time out, draw 0-0 at home to Telstar and then lose 2-0 away to PSV Eindhoven.
- SC Heerenveen sit tenth in the Eredivisie 2026/2027 table on 9 points from 8 games.
Excelsior
- Excelsior have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their 4 away Eredivisie 2026/2027 matches, conceding 4 goals.
- De Kralingers have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 outings, a run that has just about kept them above water in the Eredivisie 2026/2027, with a 1-2 home loss to FC Utrecht and an entertaining 2-2 draw away at Ajax in their two most recent games.
- Excelsior Rotterdam are seventh on 11 points from 7 outings.
Head-to-Head
The recent head-to-head record of this fixture is very even, with 2 wins apiece and a draw from the last 5 meetings, but home advantage should give Heerenveen the edge in this matchup.
Key Players
- Jacob Trenskow, Heerenveen's top scorer with 3 goals in 7 Eredivisie 2026/2027 appearances, gives them a better goal threat than Aymen Sliti.
- Levi Smans has 3 assists in Heerenveen's last 5 Eredivisie 2026/2027 games and his ability to make things happen in the final third is vital to Heerenveen's attack-first setup.
- Irakli Yegoian has been the creative hub for Excelsior with 5 assists in 7 games and 3 more in the last 5, so back the home team to just squeeze past De Kralingers on Friday.
Betting Insights
- Heerenveen are the favorites of the bookmakers at 1.71 with Excelsior at 4.1 and the draw also at 4.1.
- The oddsmakers have given the visitors a chance to win this game because of their 2-2-0 record away from home in the Eredivisie 2026/2027.
- They have only conceded 4 goals in 4 road trips, so it seems more likely that Heerenveen can just edge this matchup by a one-goal margin.
- The over 2.5 goals market at 1.44 fits the game for sure.
Prediction
The over 2.5 goals market at 1.44 fits the game for sure, but we're backing a Heerenveen win here as they have the better goal scorer in the side at the moment, with Jacob Trenskow bagging 3 goals in 7 Eredivisie 2026/2027 games.
