Select Odds Display Type
  • +125 US
  • 6/9 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
AC Milan logo
1 - 0
Full-Time
Lecce logo
Serie A
Italy
/
Serie A
/
San Siro

AC Milan
vs
Lecce
Preview

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AC Milan vs Lecce Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    1.31
    1X2 - Ordinary Time
    AC Milan
    Won
    Explanation
    • AC Milan have 40 points versus Lecce's 17 and have been far more consistent this season.
    • AC Milan defend well with a +15 goal difference and concede only 0.79 goals per match.
    • Head-to-head dominance: AC Milan won the last five meetings, including multiple 3-0 home wins.
  • Tipped at
    2.02
    Over/Under - Ordinary Time
    Under 2.5
    Won
    Explanation
    • Matches with AC Milan average 2.37 total goals and Lecce's matches average 2.11, both below 2.5.
    • Lecce scores just 0.68 goals per match on average, so they are unlikely to add many goals.
    • Recent results show many low scores (1-1, 1-0, 1-1) for AC Milan and generally low-scoring games for Lecce.
  • Tipped at
    1.48
    Both Teams To Score - Ordinary Time
    No
    Won
    Explanation
    • Head-to-head note: AC Milan kept Lecce scoreless in four of the last five meetings, suggesting shutouts.
    • Lecce have only 13 goals total while AC Milan concedes just 0.79 per match, making Lecce unlikely to score.
    • Matches with Lecce see both teams score only 33.33% of the time, so BTTS looks unlikely here.

Predictions

AC Milan

  • On Sunday, Massimiliano Allegri’s AC Milan plays host to Eusebio Di Francesco’s Lecce in a fascinating fixture between two teams with opposing playing philosophies.
  • 2nd in Serie A with 40 points from 19 games (W6, D3, L1 at home), with Allegri’s side having won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 in their last five, following successive 1-1 draws at home to Genoa and away to Fiorentina in Serie A.
  • Allegri has no real favourite players and has no particular style of play, preferring a pragmatic set-up with a measured tempo, selective pressing and a well-disciplined structure.

Lecce

  • Lecce on the other hand, have seen Di Francesco’s clear philosophy take shape in 2025-26, with his compact 4-3-3 system looking to sit in a disciplined mid-block and hit quickly on the counter-attack.
  • Lecce are in poor form with no win from their last 5 Serie A games (D2, L3).

Head-to-Head

AC Milan have won the last two head-to-head matches , including a 3-0 victory here in the Coppa Italia three months ago .


Key Players

  • Christian Pulisic is their main man up top with eight goals from 14 Serie A matches.
  • Christopher Nkunku has come into form of late with three of AC Milan's last eight goals.
  • Konan N’Dri is top-scoring for Lecce with just two goals from 13 Serie A appearances.

Betting Insights

  • The odds have Milan 1.27 favourites and the draw at 5.1.
  • Under 2.5 goals is priced at 1.85.
  • AC Milan’s home form: six wins, three draws and just one loss in Serie A this season.
  • Lecce away: two wins, two draws and five defeats from nine games.

Prediction

Pulisic’s teammates should be able to manage the game and grind out a tough win here, which the odds are saying with Milan 1.27 favourites and the draw at 5.1.

AC Milan logo

Last 15 H2H matches

  • 11
    Won
  • 4
    Draw
  • 0
    Won
Lecce logo

Last Matches

  • Jan 18 2026
    Serie A
    Lecce logo
    AC Milan
    1
    Lecce logo
    Lecce
    0
  • Sept 23 2025
    Coppa Italia
    Lecce logo
    AC Milan
    3
    Lecce logo
    Lecce
    0
  • Aug 29 2025
    Serie A
    AC Milan logo
    Lecce
    0
    AC Milan logo
    AC Milan
    2
  • Mar 08 2025
    Serie A
    AC Milan logo
    Lecce
    2
    AC Milan logo
    AC Milan
    3
  • Sept 27 2024
    Serie A
    Lecce logo
    AC Milan
    3
    Lecce logo
    Lecce
    0

Live Stats

Live Stats

  • Possession
    68
    32
  • Total Shots
    20
    3
  • Shots On Target
    6
    0
  • Shots Off Target
    7
    3
  • Corners
    10
    2
  • Crosses
    18
    8
  • Yellow Cards
    1
    1
  • Red Cards
    0
    0
  • Free Kicks
    11
    15
  • Offsides
    6
    0
  • Fouls Committed
    9
    11
  • Counterattacks
    9
    4
  • GK Saves
    0
    5
  • Goal Kicks
    4
    8
  • Throw Ins
    14
    11
  • Treatments
    0
    1
  • Substitutions
    5
    4

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Serie A Predictions

06 MAR FRIDAY

07 MAR SATURDAY

FAQ

  • AC Milan vs Lecce – Which team has the stronger record over their last 5 matches?

    Over their last 5 matches, AC Milan have tallied 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses. In the same span, Lecce have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats.

  • Who got on the scoresheet in the most recent AC Milan vs Lecce fixture?

    During the last AC Milan vs Lecce encounter, the goals came from Niclas Fullkrug.

  • Who are the leading goal-getters for AC Milan and Lecce in this Serie A 2025/2026 season?

    In the Serie A 2025/2026, Rafael Leao leads the scoring for AC Milan with 9 goals, while Lameck Banda tops the charts for Lecce with 3 goals.

  • Who leads defensively this Serie A 2025/2026 season – AC Milan or Lecce?

    The Serie A 2025/2026’s best defence belongs to AC Milan, who have shipped just 20 goals in 27 matches and kept 12 clean sheets. Their average goals conceded per game stands at only 0.74.

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Stats

  • Goals Scored logo
  • Goals (ø)
  • 1st Half Goals
  • 2nd Half Goals
  • Early Goals (1'-10')
  • Late Goals (+85')
  • Penalty Goals
  • Headed Goals
  • Free Kick Goals
2
Team Logo AC Milan
43 27
18
Team Logo Lecce
18 27

Player Statistics

Name
Rafael Leao
9 2 3 0 20 1349
Christian Pulisic
8 2 0 0 20 1041
Christopher Nkunku
5 3 0 0 21 962
Adrien Rabiot
4 4 4 1 19 1650
Strahinja Pavlovic
3 1 2 0 23 1879

Serie A Standings

2
The AC Milan logo
AC Milan
27 16 9 2 43:20 57
18
The Lecce logo
Lecce
27 6 6 15 18:36 24
Glossary
  • MP: Matches Played
  • W: Wins
  • D: Draws
  • L: Losses
  • G: Goals
  • P: Points

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