Mainz 05
- Mainz 05 are bottom of the Bundesliga table with only 7 points from 14 games in 2025-2026 and look in big trouble in the relegation zone, but they have the slight advantage in the match odds (1.93) for this Sunday’s crucial relegation six-pointer against St. Pauli, who sit 16th with 11 points from the same number of games.
- Mainz 05 are winless in seven Bundesliga home games this season, drawing two and losing five.
- Urs Fischer only took over at MEWA Arena last month, but his influence has already been felt in his team’s approach to games.
- Mainz 05, who have drawn their last two matches across all competitions, drew 2-2 away to Bayern Munich and then played out a 1-1 draw at Lech Poznan in the UEFA Conference League.
St. Pauli
- St. Pauli have won one, drawn one and lost five of their last seven Bundesliga away matches (average: 0.71 goals for, 1.57 goals against).
- Alexander Blessin’s men come into this game having won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five matches.
- Mainz have allowed 11 goals in seven home games (average 1.57).
Head-to-Head
Mainz 05 have won the last two head-to-head meetings including a 2-0 victory at home last season.
Key Players
- Andreas Hountondji is St. Pauli’s top marksman in the Bundesliga with four goals in 11 appearances.
- Martijn Kaars has scored three of St. Pauli’s six in the last five.
- Nadiem Amiri is Mainz 05’s biggest threat, but he is a creative force more than a goalscorer with only three Bundesliga goals in 12 games so far.
- Joel Chima Fujita has been in good form for the visitors, however, with three assists in the past five games.
Betting Insights
- We like the Under 2.5 goals market at 1.67 as both clubs are struggling for goals and solidity at the back.
- Mainz 05 are slight favourites at around 1.93 to St. Pauli’s 4.0.
Prediction
We think the hosts can nick this 1-0 and see that as the best exact score bet.
