Shinnik Yaroslavl
- YFK Shinnik Yaroslav and Arsenal Tula enter Saturday’s FNL 2025-2026 fixture in 11th and 10th place respectively, each collecting 36 from their first 28 games, with Arsenal Tula holding the edge in 10th over Shinnik’s 11th.
-
The home team have been unbeaten in their last five matches, winning one and drawing four, and have drawn their last two at home, but look much more solid and less predictable in defense since coach Artem Buloychik switched to a three-at-the-back formation recently.
- Shinnik have won six, tied five and lost only three of their 14 FNL home games this season, averaging 1.07 goals scored and 0.64 goals conceded per match.
Arsenal Tula
The visitors have won only one, tied one and lost three of their last five, picking up just one point from their last two games, a 1-1 draw at Torpedo Moscow and a 1-2 home defeat to Fakel.
- Arsenal Tula have won five, tied five and lost four of their 14 FNL away games this term, averaging 1.36 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per fixture on the road.
Head-to-Head
YFK Shinnik Yaroslavl have won two and tied one of their last three FNL head-to-head games with Arsenal Tula, including a 2-1 victory at home in the most recent fixture.
Key Players
Daniil Kornyushin leads the way for Shinnik with six goals in 25 FNL games , but they will need more than that to get by this tough defence, so Igor Gorbunov, who has scored two of Tula’s last five goals , could be a great anytime scorer bet.
Betting Insights
- However, with both sides having been solid in defense over the last few weeks and the home side’s goals per game figures well below the 2.00 mark, it seems more likely that a low-scoring home win will be on the cards.
- The odds of a Shinnik win with Under 2.5 goals also seem sensible given that Tula are not prolific away goalscorers themselves.
- Tula are a very controlled side, with a 4-2-3-1 system that is compact in the middle third and relies on patience in possession, while Shinnik are more variable and rely on wing-backs and a press.
Prediction
Shinnik are in the better form and with home-field advantage can scrape out a victory, but it will be a very close game and I’m going to go with the safe bet of a win with Under 2.5 and Both Teams to Score - No .
