Select Odds Display Type
  • +125 US
  • 6/9 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
USA logo
4 - 1
Full-Time
Paraguay logo
World Cup Group D
World
/
World Cup Group D
/
SoFi Stadium

vs
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USA vs Paraguay Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    2.04
    1X2
    USA
    Won
    Explanation
    • USA averages 1.8 goals per game at home in FIFA World Cup, Group D 2026, posing an attack threat.
    • Paraguay concedes 1.25 goals on the road across recent matches, showing vulnerability away from home.
    • Their last meeting ended 2-1 to USA at home, giving USA a clear head-to-head advantage.
  • Tipped at
    2.31
    Over/Under
    Over 2.5
    Won
    Explanation
    • USA's matches average 3.5 total goals this campaign, indicating frequent high-scoring affairs.
    • Across USA's last five home games the mean total was 4.6 goals, showing recent goal-heavy form.
    • Paraguay's away matches average 2.25 goals in recent competition, which adds to combined totals.
  • Tipped at
    1.99
    Both Teams To Score
    Yes
    Won
    Explanation
    • USA has seen both teams score in 70% of their home matches this campaign, so they often concede.
    • When Paraguay play away, both teams scored in 50% of those matches, so they still concede on the road.
    • Their most recent head-to-head finished 2-1, with both sides finding the net in that encounter.

Predictions

USA

  • The hosts have won three and lost two of their last five matches.
  • Mauricio Pochettino's men will be under immense pressure to win in front of the home crowd, but the pressure will be a positive, as an excited and energised stadium could play it's part in an opening win.
  • However, on the flip side, USA are an athletic and dynamic 4-3-3 side that morphs into a 4-2-3-1.
  • The USA can hurt teams with their attacking full-backs and rotation from their midfield three, which allows them to overload areas and progress the ball vertically.

Paraguay

  • Gustavo Alfaro's Paraguay are an interesting team.
  • They have won four and lost four of their last ten games, and are more balanced than they are convincing.
  • The South Americans operate from a more rigid and compact 4-3-3 or 4-4-2, setting up in a narrow defensive block and playing with experienced centre-backs who are good from set pieces and organised players who can spring counterattacks.
  • Since taking the reins in August 2024, Alfaro has instilled some real defensive discipline in his side and they're capable of frustrating teams, particularly those who try to play the ball on the ground.
  • Paraguay have won two and lost three of their last five away games, beating Mexico (2-1) and Greece (1-0) most recently but also losing to Morocco (2-1) in between those two fixtures.
  • They are a dangerous travelling team, but they're more likely to nick a result by frustrating their opponents and hitting on the counterattack.

Head-to-Head

The Americans edged Paraguay 2-1 in their last head-to-head clash during the Friendly International Matches of 2024/2025.


Betting Insights

  • Paraguay to win at 3.94 is a big odds, with USA just favourites at 2.04 and the draw priced up at 3.5.
  • The under 2.5 goals market looks a good bet at 1.63, as Paraguay will keep this game cagey.

Prediction

With a slight home edge, USA's recent attacking output and the odds available, we're backing Poch's men to grind out a win in this tense opening clash.

USA logo

Last 5 H2H matches

  • 4
    Won
  • 0
    Draw
  • 1
    Won
Paraguay logo

Last Matches

  • Jun 12 2026
    World Cup Group D
    Paraguay logo
    USA
    4
    Paraguay logo
    Paraguay
    1
  • Nov 15 2025
    Friendly International Matches
    Paraguay logo
    USA
    2
    Paraguay logo
    Paraguay
    1
  • N/A
    N/A
    Paraguay logo
    USA
    1
    Paraguay logo
    Paraguay
    0
  • N/A
    N/A
    Paraguay logo
    USA
    1
    Paraguay logo
    Paraguay
    0
  • N/A
    N/A
    Paraguay logo
    USA
    0
    Paraguay logo
    Paraguay
    1

Live Stats

Live Stats

  • Possession
    65
    35
  • Total Shots
    16
    9
  • Shots On Target
    6
    1
  • Shots Off Target
    6
    3
  • Corners
    3
    1
  • Crosses
    19
    6
  • Yellow Cards
    1
    5
  • Red Cards
    0
    0
  • Free Kicks
    18
    15
  • Offsides
    2
    1
  • Fouls Committed
    13
    17
  • Counterattacks
    2
    1
  • GK Saves
    0
    3
  • Goal Kicks
    2
    7
  • Throw Ins
    23
    17
  • Treatments
    3
    6
  • Substitutions
    4
    5

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FAQ

  • USA vs Paraguay – Which team has the stronger record over their last 5 matches?

    Over their last 5 matches, USA have tallied 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses. In the same span, Paraguay have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats.

  • Who got on the scoresheet in the most recent USA vs Paraguay fixture?

    During the last USA vs Paraguay encounter, the goals came from Mauricio Magalhaes Prado, Folarin Balogun, Giovanni Alejandro Reyna.

  • Who are the leading goal-getters for USA and Paraguay in this FIFA World Cup, Group D 2026 season?

    In the FIFA World Cup, Group D 2026, Folarin Balogun leads the scoring for USA with 2 goals, while Matias Galarza tops the charts for Paraguay with 1 goals.

  • Who leads defensively this FIFA World Cup, Group D 2026 season – USA or Paraguay?

    The FIFA World Cup, Group D 2026’s best defence belongs to Paraguay, who have shipped just 4 goals in 3 matches and kept 2 clean sheets. Their average goals conceded per game stands at only 1.33.

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Stats

  • Goals Scored logo
  • Goals (ø)
  • 1st Half Goals
  • 2nd Half Goals
  • Early Goals (1'-10')
  • Late Goals (+85')
  • Penalty Goals
  • Headed Goals
  • Free Kick Goals
1
Team Logo USA
8 3
3
Team Logo Paraguay
2 3

Player Statistics

Name
Folarin Balogun
2 0 1 0 2 160
Alex Freeman
1 1 0 0 3 195
Sebastian Berhalter
1 1 1 0 3 152
Auston Trusty
1 0 0 0 2 101
Giovanni Reyna
1 0 0 0 3 85

World Cup Group D Standings

1
The USA logo
3 2 0 1 8:4 6
3
The Paraguay logo
3 1 1 1 2:4 4
Glossary
  • MP: Matches Played
  • W: Wins
  • D: Draws
  • L: Losses
  • G: Goals
  • P: Points

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