Almeria
- Union Deportiva Almeria are 1.75 favorites for this LaLiga 2 clash with mid-table Burgos CF, who are 5.04 to grab a result on Sunday. As part of this analysis, our Union Deportiva Almeria vs Burgos CF betting tips highlight the home side’s edge based on recent performances.
- Almeria sit 3rd in the table with 32 points from 17 games while Burgos are 6th with 25 points from the same amount of games.
- Almeria’s home record in LaLiga 2 2025-2026 is the main reason why they are favorites to win this game - having won five and drawn two of their eight home league fixtures to date.
Burgos CF
- Burgos CF have done pretty well away from home, however, taking four wins and one draw from the same number of away games.
- Burgos CF are more phase-aware and compact, looking to control the ball and build up in a disciplined fashion, but also pressing when it is safe to do so.
- Luis Ramis took charge of the Castile and Leon club at the end of October and has added a defensive structure and a sense of discipline to the side.
Head-to-Head
- Both teams have won one of the last two head-to-head meetings in LaLiga 2.
- Burgos 3-1 Almeria at home, 8 months ago.
- Burgos CF have yet to win an away game at Almeria, so home advantage could be a factor according to the Union Deportiva Almeria vs Burgos CF prediction.
Key Players
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Almeria
- Adrian Embarba is Almeria’s biggest goal threat with nine goals in 16 appearances in the 2025-26 LaLiga 2 season to date.
- Sergio Arribas has scored three of UD Almeria’s last eight league goals in the last five games.
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Burgos CF
- David Gonzalez leads Burgos CF with four goals in 16 league appearances this season and is a consistent outlet up front.
- Mario Gonzalez has scored both of Burgos’ last two goals in the past five matches.
Betting Insights
- Almeria’s home stats make them the clear favourites and suggest value on the home win based on the Union Deportiva Almeria vs Burgos CF betting tips.
- Both teams to score is priced at 1.7 and is highlighted as the value bet in this matchup.
- Almeria score 2.38 and concede 1.38 goals per home game in LaLiga 2.
- Burgos CF score 1.50 and concede 1.12 per away game.
Prediction
Almeria have more firepower, a superior home record and are the stronger team on paper so the three points should go their way, although Burgos’ away resilience means the contest could be close.