UCV Moquegua

vs

Cusco FC

Preview

UCV Moquegua

• UCV Moquegua have won two of their last five matches (D1, L2) and lost only one of their three home games in Liga 1 - Apertura (W2, L1).
• Moquegua have won two of their three home fixtures and can build on a two-game winning streak at home.
• Jaime Serna has made a good initial impact since taking over as UCV head coach, implementing a more compact style that allows his team to play direct and catch opponents on counter-attack.
• The ‘Leones de la Frontera’ are an immediate threat from set pieces too, but the real danger man for Moquegua is Kevin Ruiz, who has bagged two goals in five matches and is the focal point of their attack.

Cusco FC

• Cusco FC have lost three of their last five (W2, L3) and their three away games in the competition so far (L3).
• Cusco are a possession-based team who press high up the field in numbers, although Miguel Rondelli’s side aren’t always patient enough to build up from the back and can get overrun by teams with a more direct game plan.
• Cusco FC have lost all three of their away assignments, averaging just 0.33 goals per game and conceding an average of 1.33.

Key Players

• Kevin Ruiz leads the line well for UCV Moquegua with two goals in five Liga 1 - Apertura appearances.
• Cusco’s Facundo Callejo is an excellent finisher and poses the greatest threat to Moquegua with three goals in Liga 1 - Apertura.

Betting Insights

• The odds for a home win are attractive at 3.6.
• Moquegua have a real edge at home with two wins from three fixtures and an average of 1.67 goals per game in those matches.
• With UCV’s compact nature and quick transition game, we’re going with Both Teams to Score - No in the odds-on market at 1.83.

Prediction

• However, UCV’s momentum and home form look like it could make all the difference here, so we’re behind the hosts to win on Saturday.
• We can’t look beyond them getting the win and hopefully keeping a clean sheet.