SSV Ulm

vs

MSV Duisburg

Preview

SSV Ulm

• SSV Ulm have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches (W2, L3).
• Pavel Dotchev has been working hard to get the best out of his squad since taking charge in November 2025, and has focused on getting his players compact and well-organized in their default 3-at-the-back system.
• The wing-backs play an attacking role, but the side are most potent on the counter-attack after maintaining a tight shape when out of possession.

MSV Duisburg

• MSV Duisburg have taken 2 wins, 2 draws and just 1 defeat from their last 5 league matches (W2, D2, L1).
• Duisburg lead the 3.Liga table with 40 points from 21 games, compared to Ulm’s 19 from the same number of matches.
• Their system is disciplined, high-energy and structured around high-intensity pressing and ball control from a double pivot in either 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3 formations.
• They have won their last 2 games and are undefeated in 3 (W2, D1), with a resounding 4-0 win at VfB Stuttgart II.

Head-to-Head

Key Players

• Elias Loeder is Ulm’s main goal threat with 7 in 20 games, 3 of which have come in the last 5 games, while Leon Dajaku has provided 4 assists in that same 5-game stretch.
• Duisburg’s 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3 system should be a good match for Ulm's flexible 3-at-the-back system, but the Zebras boast Lex-Tyger Lobinger in their ranks, and with 11 goals in 19 appearances, the striker is one of the most clinical finishers in the division.

Betting Insights

• Duisburg are the clear favorites with the bookies at 1.95, making the home team SSV Ulm 3.55 and the draw at 3.6.
• We feel that the Over 2.5 goals market at 1.7 has a lot of value here considering Duisburg’s attacking output this season and Ulm’s leaky defence, which has conceded an average of 2.10 goals per home game.

Prediction

• SSV Ulm have not managed a home win against Duisburg and we don’t believe that will change on Sunday.
• This could be an open game, which could keep things interesting.