Septemvri Sofia
- Septemvri Sofia have lost 3 consecutive games and won just 2 of their last 5 in the league.
- The hosts have won just 4, drawn once and lost 7 of their 12 home league fixtures, conceding an average of 1.75 goals per-game.
- Septemvri have been more up and down in the short period under Hristo Arangelov as he has tried to fashion a compact, pragmatic and risk-averse team together.
- They do this by overloading the middle of the pitch with narrow, midfield-dominant shapes and looking to jam up the central channels.
- Arangelov’s side have not scored in their last two matches and have averaged just over a goal per game at home.
Arda Kardzhali
- Arda Kardzhali could prove too strong and well organised for their struggling hosts to get a result on Saturday when these two sides face off in Sofia.
- Arda sit 8th in the Parva liga 2025-2026 table with 35 points from 26 matches, while 14th placed Septemvri Sofia have collected just 21 points from 25 games.
- Tunchev’s 4-2-3-1 system is set up with a double pivot to shield the defence and allow his wide creative players and number 10 to drive through transition at pace.
- Arda kept a shutout in their most recent fixture, a 2-0 home win over Dobrudzha Dobrich and have shown excellent ability to keep the tempo of games under control in recent weeks as Tunchev rotates the squad for their European pursuits.
- Arda have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their 13 league away games, scoring just 14 times.
Head-to-Head
Arda Kardzhali have won 3 and lost just once in the last 4 head-to-head meetings between the clubs.
Betting Insights
- Septemvri will look to cause problems on the counter-attack and are more likely to get on the scoresheet than Arda, but it’s unlikely that both teams will score in this fixture and the odds for BTTS-No at 1.66 are too low.
- Arda are rightful favorites at 1.9 for the win and that is a solid bet, but we’re taking them to grind out a clean sheet away from home on Saturday.
Prediction
Septemvri caused an upset in the reverse game 4 months ago, winning 1-0 away from home in the Parva liga, but they failed to win either of the 2 home H2H’s prior to that result and we’re backing Arda to finish on top in the Bulgarian capital this weekend.
