Head-to-Head
Freiburg’s last head-to-head victory over Hamburger SV was a 2-1 home win in the DFB Pokal last year.
Freiburg
- Freiburg are 9th in the Bundesliga after 15 games with 20 points.
- Freiburg have won three of their last five Bundesliga matches (D1, L1) and have drawn 1-1 against Borussia Dortmund and won 4-3 at VfL Wolfsburg in their last two league games.
- Julian Schuster has done a tremendous job since taking over in July 2024, installing a solid structure and keeping the team on an even keel amidst European commitments.
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At home, Freiburg are unbeaten in their last three (W2, D1) and have won three, drawn three and lost just one of their seven Bundesliga games to date.
- Their average of 2.00 goals scored per home match is pleasing.
- The 1.29 goals they concede on average is concerning for the hosts.
Hamburger SV
- Hamburger SV sit 13th in the Bundesliga table after picking up 16 points from their opening 15 games.
- Merlin Polzin stepped up as HSV’s head coach in November 2024 and has shifted the team to a pragmatic, transition-based style of play.
- HSV’s back-three system provides a solid foundation to build from and their approach to each game adapts to suit the opponent, with Robert Glatzel remaining their focal point up top and a willing targetman.
- Albert Sambi Lokonga tops the HSV scoring charts with four goals in 12 Bundesliga appearances.
Key Players
- HSV’s back-three system provides a solid foundation to build from and their approach to each game adapts to suit the opponent, with Robert Glatzel remaining their focal point up top and a willing targetman.
- Albert Sambi Lokonga tops the HSV scoring charts with four goals in 12 Bundesliga appearances.
Betting Insights
- The odds for this game suggest that the bookmakers believe HSV are a live chance of getting something from this game (Freiburg 1.83, HSV 4.88 and draw 3.8), but the home team are the clear favorites in our eyes.
- HSV have lost their only recent away match, a 4-1 defeat to Hoffenheim, while their most recent result was a hard-fought 1-1 draw at home to Eintracht Frankfurt.
Prediction
- We’re going for the home win here and with both teams to score (2.04) and over 2.5 goals (1.87) being priced fairly.
- Freiburg should have the edge as they look to take down an organized HSV side who will try to lock down the midfield and exploit the counter attack with set-piece opportunities.
