Head-to-Head
- Corinthians have won three of the four competitive head-to-heads in 2025.
- Santos have one win in five games (W1, D3, L1), and Neymar's availability is uncertain due to recurring muscle injuries.
Santos (home)
- A clash of contrasting styles should ensure that Thursday’s Clássico Alvinegro in Sao Paulo is a close and tense game as our Santos FC Sao Paulo vs Corinthians Paulista prediction considers Santos FC Sao Paulo’s aggressive, high-press style plays off against Corinthians Paulista’s organised, compact game.
- Santos, who are just two points above the relegation zone, have won only one of their last five competitive games.
- After three successive draws, followed by a 3-0 defeat to Ceará, they are on a downward slide that Vojvoda will need to stop quickly.
- The Peixe have been playing some good soccer under their coach, who is trying to get them to press high, play on the front foot and overload the flanks, but they are too gung-ho at times and often get caught out.
Corinthians (away)
- Corinthians are the superior side on current form, having won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five.
- There was enough of a bounce back to their play in last weekend’s 3-0 home win over Mirassol to suggest they can beat Santos again.
- Dorival Júnior’s side have been solid, compact and disciplined in matching up against opponents, blocking the middle and playing in transition when they have the ball.
Key Players
- Santos boss Juan Pablo Vojvoda has his own ideas and the players to carry them out in the attacking third where the likes of Lautaro Díaz and Benjamín Rollheiser add creativity and forward options.
- But the game-changer is Neymar, who, when fit, can make the team look like world-beaters.
- However, recurring muscle injuries have made his availability uncertain and limited his recent impact.
- Guilherme remains Santos’ most reliable goal threat this year, while Yuri Alberto, who consistently finds the net in derbies, can be trusted to score for them.
Betting Insights
- Hence, the narrow favourites are Santos at 2.18, although this Santos FC Sao Paulo vs Corinthians Paulista betting tips section recommends a small wager on Corinthians, who are 3.55, to draw 1-1.
- The draw is 3.0.
- The odds for under 2.5 goals, which would seem very likely in a tight game, are 1.48.
- With a yellow weather alert in Santos, the pitch could be sloppy and make for a physical, scrappy game.
- The following Santos FC Sao Paulo vs Corinthians Paulista betting tips also highlight that the match conditions may favor conservative approaches, potentially leading to fewer goals.
Prediction
Small wager on Corinthians to draw 1-1 .
