Real Oviedo

vs

Athletic Bilbao

Preview

Oviedo (home)

• Oviedo have won just 2 of their 11 home games in LaLiga 2025/2026.
• The Carbayones sit 20th in the table with 16 points from 22 games, some 12 points behind Bilbao in 10th with 28 points from 23 matches.
• Oviedo have been in mixed form with one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five games, but have kept consecutive shutouts against Girona and Rayo Vallecano at home.
• Oviedo’s low block, narrow and disciplined, should frustrate Athletic Bilbao and can hurt them on the counter or via set pieces.

Athletic Bilbao (away)

• Athletic Bilbao’s away record in LaLiga 2025-2026 reads won 2, lost 7, with an average of 1.73 goals conceded per away game.
• Athletic Bilbao should be too good for Real Oviedo on Sunday, but a home win for the newly-promoted side has a place in the bet at 3.5.
• The bookmakers have the Basques as favorites at 2.15, which seems a bit short given Bilbao’s patchy away form and Oviedo’s recent unbeaten run in their last two home matches.
• Athletic are flying with back-to-back wins under Ernesto Valverde.
• Valverde’s high-pressing, possession-based teams play a high-tempo 4-3-3 in which the wings are the route to attack.
• Only 0.91 goals per game is the average that Bilbao have scored on their travels in 2025-2026 and that’s not usually enough to win away from home.

Key Players

• Ilyas Chaira has been Oviedo’s danger man of late, scoring two of their last four goals, but the most likely source of a goal for them in this game is a direct ball to striker Federico Vinas.
• Gorka Guruzeta, who has scored three in his last five, is a more prolific finisher for Bilbao but they tend to be at their best when their full backs and midfielders are in positions to play forward.
• Robert Navarro is Bilbao’s top scorer with five in 19.

Betting Insights

Prediction