Select Odds Display Type
  • +125 US
  • 6/9 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
Real Madrid logo
4 - 2
Full-Time
Athletic Bilbao logo
La Liga
Spain
/
La Liga
/
Estadio Bernabeu

vs
Preview

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Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    1.51
    1X2
    Real Madrid
    Won
    Explanation
    • Real Madrid has won 14 home games and scored 39 goals at home this LaLiga season, averaging 2.29 goals.
    • Real Madrid concedes just 14 goals at home (0.82 avg), showing strong defensive form in league play.
    • In their last five head-to-heads Real Madrid won 4 times, including a 3-0 victory away to Athletic Bilbao.
  • Tipped at
    1.50
    Over/Under
    Over 2.5
    Won
    Explanation
    • Matches with Real Madrid average 2.94 total goals this season, and their home games are 3.12 on average.
    • Athletic Bilbao's away fixtures average 2.94 total goals across the campaign, increasing the chance of over 2.5.
    • Recently Athletic Bilbao produced 4-2 and 2-3 away scores, showing they often join high-scoring contests.
  • Tipped at
    1.66
    Both Teams To Score
    Yes
    Won
    Explanation
    • Real Madrid's home matches have seen both teams score in 55.56% of games this season, so BTTS is likely.
    • Athletic Bilbao had both teams scoring in 3 of their last 5 matches (1-1, 4-2, 2-3), showing scoring consistency.
    • Across LaLiga 2025-2026 Athletic Bilbao has BTTS in 51.35% of games, supporting a 'both teams to score' outcome.

Predictions

Real Madrid

  • Real Madrid have won 14 of their 17 home LaLiga games this season, conceding an average of 0.82 goals per game at the Bernabeu.
  • Real Madrid will be tough to stop even in the latter stages of the season with Kylian Mbappe on the pitch and they should make no mistake of getting the better of Athletic Bilbao in Saturday’s LaLiga contest.
  • Alvaro Arbeloa has brought a more pragmatic approach to the club since taking over in January 2026 and it has certainly paid dividends in terms of results, but with three wins, one draw and one defeat from their last five LaLiga outings, Real are still in with a chance of winning the title.
  • After back-to-back victories over Real Oviedo and Sevilla, they arrive in a strong position to extend that run against an Athletic Bilbao side that have won one, drawn one and lost three of their last five.
  • Real Madrid are second in LaLiga with 77 points from 35 games while Athletic are ninth with 44 from 35 games and the hosts are rightly the clear favorites for Saturday’s game at 1.51.

Athletic Bilbao

  • Athletic Bilbao have won four and lost ten of their 17 LaLiga away games, conceding an average of 1.82 goals per game on the road.
  • The visitors fell 2-0 at Espanyol last weekend, so they are unlikely to arrive in the Spanish capital in an overly confident mood.
  • They have won one, drawn one and lost three of their last five LaLiga matches.

Real Madrid

  • Vinicius Junior has been in brilliant form for Madrid, netting three of their last three goals in their previous five matches, but it is Kylian Mbappé who remains the key difference-maker.
  • Kylian Mbappé has netted 24 goals in 28 LaLiga appearances this term, averaging more than a goal every two games.

Athletic Bilbao

Gorka Guruzeta remains Athletic Bilbao’s most reliable finisher, scoring 9 in 32 LaLiga games this season, but Nico Williams has found his shooting boots recently with two in his last five .


Betting Insights

  • The visitors’ odds are generous given they have failed to win in their last two away visits to Real Madrid and it is impossible to ignore the likelihood that this will be a high-scoring game with both teams to score and over 2.5 goals coming in at 1.66 and 1.5 respectively.
  • Athletic will try to overload the wings and press them out of possession, so the ingredients are there for a high-paced, end-to-end game in which the hosts should take the victory.

Prediction

  • Real Madrid will be tough to stop even in the latter stages of the season with Kylian Mbappé on the pitch and they should make no mistake of getting the better of Athletic Bilbao.
  • Athletic’s pressing can ensure that both teams find the net at some point in what should be an open contest.
Real Madrid logo

Last 37 H2H matches

  • 26
    Won
  • 6
    Draw
  • 5
    Won
Athletic Bilbao logo

Last Matches

Live Stats

Live Stats

  • Possession
    74
    26
  • Total Shots
    13
    8
  • Shots On Target
    8
    2
  • Shots Off Target
    5
    5
  • Corners
    2
    1
  • Crosses
    11
    12
  • Yellow Cards
    2
    0
  • Red Cards
    0
    0
  • Free Kicks
    22
    12
  • Offsides
    6
    2
  • Fouls Committed
    6
    20
  • Counterattacks
    0
    1
  • GK Saves
    0
    4
  • Goal Kicks
    5
    6
  • Throw Ins
    11
    11
  • Treatments
    0
    2
  • Substitutions
    5
    5

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FAQ

  • Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao – Which team has the stronger record over their last 5 matches?

    Over their last 5 matches, Real Madrid have tallied 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses. In the same span, Athletic Bilbao have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats.

  • Who got on the scoresheet in the most recent Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao fixture?

    During the last Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao encounter, the goals came from Brahim Abdelkader Díaz, Gonzalo García Torres, Kylian Mbappe, Urko (Izeta) Iruretagoiena Lertxundi, Jude Bellingham, Gorka Guruzeta Rodriguez.

  • Who are the leading goal-getters for Real Madrid and Athletic Bilbao in this LaLiga 2025/2026 season?

    In the LaLiga 2025/2026, Kylian Mbappe leads the scoring for Real Madrid with 25 goals, while Gorka Guruzeta tops the charts for Athletic Bilbao with 10 goals.

  • Who leads defensively this LaLiga 2025/2026 season – Real Madrid or Athletic Bilbao?

    The LaLiga 2025/2026’s best defence belongs to Real Madrid, who have shipped just 35 goals in 38 matches and kept 14 clean sheets. Their average goals conceded per game stands at only 0.92.

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Stats

  • Goals Scored logo
  • Goals (ø)
  • 1st Half Goals
  • 2nd Half Goals
  • Early Goals (1'-10')
  • Late Goals (+85')
  • Penalty Goals
  • Headed Goals
  • Free Kick Goals
2
Team Logo Real Madrid
77 38
12
Team Logo Athletic Bilbao
43 38

Player Statistics

Name
Kylian Mbappe
25 5 4 0 31 2599
Vinicius Junior
16 5 8 0 36 2815
Jude Bellingham
6 4 3 0 28 1915
Gonzalo Garcia
6 1 2 0 30 964
Federico Valverde
5 8 3 1 33 2740

LaLiga Standings

2
The Real Madrid logo
38 27 5 6 77:35 86
12
The Athletic Bilbao logo
38 13 6 19 43:58 45
Glossary
  • MP: Matches Played
  • W: Wins
  • D: Draws
  • L: Losses
  • G: Goals
  • P: Points

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