Select Odds Display Type
  • +125 US
  • 6/9 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
Athletic Bilbao logo
0 - 3
Full-Time
Real Madrid logo
La Liga
Spain
/
La Liga
/
San Mames

Athletic Bilbao
vs
Real Madrid
Predictions & Betting Tips

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Athletic Bilbao logo

Last 36 H2H matches

  • 5
    Won
  • 6
    Draw
  • 25
    Won
Real Madrid logo

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid Predictions

Athletic Bilbao (home)

  • Athletic Bilbao’s record at home in LaLiga is W4, D1, L2, scoring 1.14 goals per game.
  • Los Leones’ recent results have been a little mixed with two defeats, two draws and one win from their last five in all competitions, but they have drawn their last two games 0-0, both away from home, so they look solid defensively, but not cutting edge up front.
  • The hosts have been solid at home of late, winning their last fixture at San Mames, and this makes them intriguing for our Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid betting tips.

Real Madrid (away)

  • Real Madrid’s recent away record in LaLiga is W4, D2, L1 with 9 goals conceded.
  • It’s not been all plain sailing for Real Madrid of late, although they are still second in the league with 32 points from 13 matches, and Athletic Bilbao are in eighth with 17 points after as many games. This can influence the Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid betting tips for this clash.

Head-to-Head

  • Real Madrid have won two and Athletic Bilbao one of the last three head-to-head meetings, with no draws, the most recent coming seven months ago when Los Merengues won 1-0 at the Bernabeu.
  • Athletic have scored an average of 1.0 goals and conceded 1.5 in the head-to-heads at San Mames, so expect both teams to register in a game that the visitors should nick due to their superior quality.
  • Xabi Alonso has instilled a more structured approach at Madrid with the side disciplined in possession and able to counter-attack at speed when they are able to win it back.
  • Athletic Bilbao are a high-intensity pressing team that thrive on quick transitions and set-piece routines and Ernesto Valverde has been very impressive with how he has made the Basque side very compact and difficult to break down.

Key Players

  • Kylian Mbappe has been on fire for Real Madrid of late, scoring 13 goals in 13 league appearances and bagging six of Los Merengues’ last ten across all competitions.
  • Athletic have enough quality to make this a competitive game with Nico Williams their main threat, scoring two of the three goals they have registered in their last five.

Betting Insights

  • The odds suggest that Real Madrid are the strong favorites to win this matchup between the team second and the team eighth in 2025-2026’s LaLiga with Los Blancos quoted at 1.9 and Bilbao at 4.26. Our Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid betting tips take these odds into consideration for added value.
  • Backing Both Teams To Score at 1.72 looks a good way to go as Bilbao’s pressing will make life difficult for Madrid and the width and rotation that Alonso’s side use should allow the visitors to penetrate Bilbao’s compact shape.

Prediction

  • The Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid prediction is that Madrid have superior league form, firepower up front and are the more likely to edge this one at a slightly shorter price.
  • Expect both teams to register in a game that the visitors should nick due to their superior quality.

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    1.82
    1X2 - Ordinary Time
    Real Madrid
    Won
    Explanation
    • Real Madrid has scored 28 goals this season (2.15 per match), showing a much sharper attack than Athletic Bilbao.
    • Real Madrid has 4 away wins and averages 2.0 goals on the road, while Athletic Bilbao scores only 1.14 per home game.
    • Head-to-head favors Real Madrid: Athletic Bilbao lost three of the last five meetings and only beat them once.
  • Tipped at
    1.76
    Over/Under - Ordinary Time
    Over 2.5
    Won
    Explanation
    • Matches involving Real Madrid average 3.08 total goals, suggesting fixtures with them often go above 2.5 goals.
    • Real Madrid recent results include 4-0 and 2-2, while Athletic Bilbao concedes 17 goals overall, increasing scoring chances.
    • Combined season averages ( Athletic Bilbao 2.23 and Real Madrid 3.08 total goals per match ) point to over 2.5 goals.
  • Tipped at
    2.09
    Both Teams To Score - Ordinary Time
    No
    Won
    Explanation
    • Both teams scored in only 31.25% of Athletic Bilbao games (33.33% at home), so many Athletic Bilbao matches end with one side blank.
    • In Athletic Bilbao last five matches there were several clean-sheet games (0-4,1-0,0-0), showing low scoring from one side often.
    • Head-to-head history shows Athletic Bilbao failed to score in multiple meetings (0-1,0-2,0-2), supporting a 'no' on BTTS.

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid Last Matches

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid Live Stats

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid Live Stats

  • Possession
    38
    62
  • Total Shots
    8
    12
  • Shots On Target
    4
    8
  • Shots Off Target
    4
    3
  • Corners
    5
    7
  • Crosses
    21
    12
  • Yellow Cards
    2
    0
  • Red Cards
    0
    0
  • Free Kicks
    5
    16
  • Offsides
    1
    1
  • Fouls Committed
    15
    4
  • Counterattacks
    3
    4
  • GK Saves
    5
    4
  • Goal Kicks
    2
    9
  • Throw Ins
    18
    17
  • Treatments
    0
    2
  • Substitutions
    5
    5

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La Liga Predictions

07 DEC SUNDAY

08 DEC MONDAY

FAQ

  • Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid – Which team has the stronger record over their last 5 matches?

    Over their last 5 matches, Athletic Bilbao have tallied 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses. In the same span, Real Madrid have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 defeats.

  • Who got on the scoresheet in the most recent Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid fixture?

    During the last Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid encounter, the goals came from Kylian Mbappe, Eduardo Camavinga.

  • Who are the leading goal-getters for Athletic Bilbao and Real Madrid in this LaLiga 2025/2026 season?

    In the LaLiga 2025/2026, Nico Williams leads the scoring for Athletic Bilbao with 3 goals, while Kylian Mbappe tops the charts for Real Madrid with 16 goals.

  • Who leads defensively this LaLiga 2025/2026 season – Athletic Bilbao or Real Madrid?

    The LaLiga 2025/2026’s best defence belongs to Real Madrid, who have shipped just 13 goals in 15 matches and kept 7 clean sheets. Their average goals conceded per game stands at only 0.87.

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Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid Stats

  • Goals Scored logo
  • Goals (ø)
  • 1st Half Goals
  • 2nd Half Goals
  • Early Goals (1'-10')
  • Late Goals (+85')
  • Penalty Goals
  • Headed Goals
  • Free Kick Goals
2
Team Logo Real Madrid
32 15
7
Team Logo Athletic Bilbao
15 16

Player Statistics

Name
Nico Williams
3 2 0 0 12 838
Robert Navarro
3 0 1 0 13 527
Mikel Jauregizar
1 0 2 0 16 1375
Alex Berenguer
1 2 2 0 14 1063
Gorka Guruzeta
1 0 1 0 14 866

La Liga Standings

2
The Real Madrid logo
Real Madrid
15 11 3 1 32:13 36
7
The Athletic Bilbao logo
Athletic Bilbao
16 7 2 7 15:20 23
Glossary
  • MP: Matches Played
  • W: Wins
  • D: Draws
  • L: Losses
  • G: Goals
  • P: Points

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