Paris Saint-Germain
- PSG have won four of their last five in all competitions, beating Chelsea 8-2 on aggregate in the last two rounds of the Champions League.
- This game will be won or lost in the midfield, where PSG’s 4-3-3 system can overload the wide areas and switch play in an instant to hurt the defence.
- They have looked imperious in Europe recently, but a 1-3 home defeat to Monaco in March showed that they are still vulnerable at times.
Liverpool
- Liverpool sit 5th in the Premier League table (49 points from 31 games).
- Liverpool have lost two of their last three league games.
- Liverpool beat Galatasaray 4-0 at Anfield in the previous round of the Champions League, overturning a first-leg deficit.
- Liverpool are playing their best football on European nights and despite their inconsistent league form, they still carry a threat at PSG.
Head-to-Head
- Liverpool are still smarting from their penalty heartbreak of 2025 when they lost a two-legged knockout tie to PSG 1-1 on aggregate.
- Liverpool have reached this stage of the competition so many times in recent years.
Key Players
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PSG
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia has been in red-hot form for PSG with a brace and decisive assists against Chelsea in the Champions League.
- Ousmane Dembélé has been their domestic hero with a brace against Toulouse and consistent good performances on the flanks where he creates chances for his teammates.
- Vitinha has been PSG’s engine room in the second half of the season and his Champions League goal against Chelsea was a piece of quality that can unlock teams.
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Liverpool
- Dominik Szoboszlai is the driving force behind Liverpool’s attacking play and his ability to find a killer ball or score from distance makes him a threat at all times.
- Virgil van Dijk keeps things solid at the back for Liverpool while he is their main aerial threat at set pieces.
- Mohamed Salah is the best player on the field for Liverpool, although his fitness for this tie is in doubt.
Betting Insights
- Paris Saint-Germain are the 1.69 favorites for Wednesday’s Champions League quarter-final first leg with Liverpool.
- Liverpool are the 4.3 underdogs in the match result market.
- Both teams have been involved in some thrilling European nights in recent weeks and there will be goals in this game, so the 1.5 odds on Over 2.5 goals look extremely low.
- The match betting markets may be slightly skewed by PSG’s excellent home form.
Prediction
- This should be a close game, but PSG’s extra bite in Europe this season and recent Champions League fireworks will see them edge it by a goal.
- I’m going for a narrow 2-1 win for Luis Enrique’s side as my correct score pick.
