Neom SC (home)
- Neom SC have lost their last three games and their last three home games.
- Christophe Galtier’s side play a patient, possession-based game with a compact shape and disciplined double-pivot system.
- They look to control the game tempo and build from the back, but this blueprint has struggled to produce goals at home this term with just eight scored in eight home games.
- Said Benrahma has stepped up recently, bagging two of their last six league goals.
Al Ahli Jeddah (away)
- Al Ahli Jeddah are unbeaten in their last five league games (W4, D1).
- Al Ahli are having a much better one with 37 points from 16 games, putting them second in the standings, while Neom have collected 20 points in 15 games, putting them tenth.
- Al Ahli have won five of their seven away league games this season, drawing one and losing one.
- Matthias Jaissle’s Al Ahli have been going in the other direction since he took over in July 2023, bringing a Red Bull-inspired pressing scheme that is relentless in its high-intensity, high-pressure approach.
- The visitors have a formidable away record and have conceded just two away goals all campaign, an average of 0.29 per away match.
- Ivan Toney is their key man with 11 goals in 14 league appearances, bagging eight of them in Al Ahli’s last five and making him the top scorer in the league.
Key Players
- Ivan Toney
- 11 goals in 14 league appearances
- 8 goals in Al Ahli’s last five matches
- League top scorer
- Said Benrahma
- 2 of Neom’s last six league goals
Betting Insights
Over 2.5 goals is the choice at 1.7 because both managers are clear in their approach and both will give their teams licence to go forward.
Prediction
Given Al Ahli’s superior form, away record and stingy defense compared to Neom’s home form and poor scoring record, they are the clear favorites to take all three points and with odds of 2.0 , I am betting on them to do just that.