Napoli

vs

AC Milan

Preview

Napoli (home)

• Napoli have won their last four games in all competitions.
• Napoli are unbeaten at home in Serie A (W10, D4).
• They have conceded only 13 goals in 14 fixtures.
• Conte’s system relies on high-intensity pressing, rapid verticality and flexible shape.
• Their top scorer Rasmus Hoejlund has 10 goals in 26 Serie A appearances.

AC Milan (away)

• AC Milan have won three and lost two of their last five in all competitions.
• Allegri’s approach is pragmatic and structure-first, with a solid block and individual quality.
• Rafael Leao has 9 goals in 22 Serie A games and is Milan’s biggest threat.
• Strahinja Pavlovic has been in good form recently with two goals in Milan’s last six.

Head-to-Head

• Napoli beat AC Milan 2-0 in the 2025 Super Cup three months ago.
• Milan have not won either of their last two away games against the Naples-based side.
• Napoli have won their last two games at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.

Key Players

• Rasmus Hoejlund - 10 goals in 26 Serie A appearances.
• Rafael Leao - 9 goals in 22 Serie A games.
• Strahinja Pavlovic - recent good form with two goals in Milan’s last six.

Betting Insights

• Napoli are favourites but this should be a tight game.
• Main selection: home win at 2.58.
• Both teams to score - Yes at 1.9.
• Correct-score market pick: Under 2.5 goals at 1.62.

Prediction

• Expect Napoli to edge a narrow victory at home.
• Betting focus: home win and both teams to score.
• Anticipate a low-scoring affair - Under 2.5 goals likely.