Manchester City
- Pep Guardiola’s side will be strong favourites to win the three points in the 2025-26 Premier League on Saturday but Burnley will be desperate for at least a point to haul themselves out of the bottom six. Our Manchester City vs Burnley prediction suggests a hard-fought contest given the stakes for both teams.
- The Sky Blues have been inconsistent with two wins, one draw and two losses in their previous five competitive games.
- But they have been more convincing in the Champions League and won their opening group stage game 2-0 at Napoli on Wednesday.
Burnley
- The Clarets are 16th with four points on the board from the opening games of the season, which has been an average start for Manchester City who are 9th with seven.
- Burnley have one win, one draw and three defeats in their past five games.
- Scott Parker’s men have played good football at times, but against the top sides, they have been exposed; this Manchester City vs Burnley preview underlines their need to tighten up defensively.
Head-to-Head
- City have won each of the last three meetings with Burnley by multi-goal margins, making the Manchester City vs Burnley prediction more favorable for the Sky Blues.
- Burnley have lost three of their last five matches.
Manchester City
- Haaland is the story of the week with Guardiola bullish about the availability of his Norwegian star after a minor back issue.
- Phil Foden and Jérémy Doku also provided in terms of goals and assists.
- The latter has looked good in the European games, while Foden is usually the catalyst in the derby games.
Burnley
- Burnley’s boss has built a team with a low-risk defensive block and the players have the discipline to sit in and soak up pressure for long periods, before hitting the opposition with direct play on the counter-attack.
- Lyle Foster and Loum Tchaouna are both pacey and creative up front, but Burnley’s success is not based on individual brilliance as much as a collective performance.
- Burnley will be without the suspended Lesley Ugochukwu in midfield, but will most likely restore their starting XI from last weekend after cup rotation.
Betting Insights
- Burnley are +675 to get a result at the Etihad on Saturday, which tells you all you need to know about the match odds.
- City are -555 to take the win and that seems to be the only bet for this game, as long as you’re aware that Burnley can dig in and it will be a battle of chess.
- There will be goals, but Burnley have had some good results in games where Martin Dúbravka has made saves, so I’m going for a City win with over 2.5 goals at -243 rather than the shorter odds for the City to grab the victory with over 1.5. For those looking for value, the Manchester City vs Burnley betting tips favor a high-scoring match with City's attacking firepower coming to the fore.
Prediction
- A win will get City back on track and restore some momentum in what looks like a very tough title race this term. The Manchester City vs Burnley prediction leans towards a dominant performance from the home side, but Burnley's resilience could make things interesting.
- Jaidon Anthony, their top scorer this season, is likely to be their main threat, having scored the equaliser at Nottingham Forest.