Select Odds Display Type
  • +125 US
  • 5/4 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
Manchester City logo
5 - 1
Full-Time
Burnley logo
Premier League
England
/
Premier League
/
Etihad Stadium

Manchester City
vs
Burnley
Predictions & Betting Tips

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Manchester City logo

Last 22 H2H matches

  • 19
    Won
  • 2
    Draw
  • 1
    Won
Burnley logo

Manchester City vs Burnley Predictions

Manchester City

  • Pep Guardiola’s side will be strong favourites to win the three points in the 2025-26 Premier League on Saturday but Burnley will be desperate for at least a point to haul themselves out of the bottom six. Our Manchester City vs Burnley prediction suggests a hard-fought contest given the stakes for both teams.
  • The Sky Blues have been inconsistent with two wins, one draw and two losses in their previous five competitive games.
  • But they have been more convincing in the Champions League and won their opening group stage game 2-0 at Napoli on Wednesday.

Burnley

  • The Clarets are 16th with four points on the board from the opening games of the season, which has been an average start for Manchester City who are 9th with seven.
  • Burnley have one win, one draw and three defeats in their past five games.
  • Scott Parker’s men have played good football at times, but against the top sides, they have been exposed; this Manchester City vs Burnley preview underlines their need to tighten up defensively.

Head-to-Head

  • City have won each of the last three meetings with Burnley by multi-goal margins, making the Manchester City vs Burnley prediction more favorable for the Sky Blues.
  • Burnley have lost three of their last five matches.

Manchester City

  • Haaland is the story of the week with Guardiola bullish about the availability of his Norwegian star after a minor back issue.
  • Phil Foden and Jérémy Doku also provided in terms of goals and assists.
  • The latter has looked good in the European games, while Foden is usually the catalyst in the derby games.

Burnley

  • Burnley’s boss has built a team with a low-risk defensive block and the players have the discipline to sit in and soak up pressure for long periods, before hitting the opposition with direct play on the counter-attack.
  • Lyle Foster and Loum Tchaouna are both pacey and creative up front, but Burnley’s success is not based on individual brilliance as much as a collective performance.
  • Burnley will be without the suspended Lesley Ugochukwu in midfield, but will most likely restore their starting XI from last weekend after cup rotation.

Betting Insights

  • Burnley are +675 to get a result at the Etihad on Saturday, which tells you all you need to know about the match odds.
  • City are -555 to take the win and that seems to be the only bet for this game, as long as you’re aware that Burnley can dig in and it will be a battle of chess.
  • There will be goals, but Burnley have had some good results in games where Martin Dúbravka has made saves, so I’m going for a City win with over 2.5 goals at -243 rather than the shorter odds for the City to grab the victory with over 1.5. For those looking for value, the Manchester City vs Burnley betting tips favor a high-scoring match with City's attacking firepower coming to the fore.

Prediction

  • A win will get City back on track and restore some momentum in what looks like a very tough title race this term. The Manchester City vs Burnley prediction leans towards a dominant performance from the home side, but Burnley's resilience could make things interesting.
  • Jaidon Anthony, their top scorer this season, is likely to be their main threat, having scored the equaliser at Nottingham Forest.

Manchester City vs Burnley Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    1.18
    1X2 - Ordinary Time
    Manchester City
    Won
    Explanation
    • Manchester City has 7 points and steadier recent form than Burnley's 4, suggesting greater consistency.
    • Head-to-head dominance: Manchester City won the last three meetings by big margins (3-1, 3-0, 6-0).
    • Burnley concedes 3.0 goals away on average while Manchester City concedes just 1.0 at home, favoring the host.
  • Tipped at
    1.42
    Over/Under - Ordinary Time
    Over 2.5
    Won
    Explanation
    • Manchester City fixtures average 2.8 total goals and Burnley fixtures average 2.6, pointing to multiple goals.
    • Recent scores support this: Manchester City produced 4-0 and 3-0 wins, while Burnley featured a 2-3 away game.
    • Burnley's away matches average 4.0 total goals and past H2H ties with Manchester City were also high-scoring.
  • Tipped at
    1.69
    Both Teams To Score - Ordinary Time
    No
    Lost
    Explanation
    • When Manchester City plays at home, both teams have scored in 0% of their matches, suggesting a clean-sheet chance.
    • Burnley has only 2 goals scored away in the tournament and often fails to find the net on the road.
    • Head-to-head shows Burnley kept off the scoresheet in two of the last three meetings (3-0, 6-0).

Manchester City vs Burnley Last Matches

Manchester City vs Burnley Live Stats

Manchester City vs Burnley Live Stats

  • Possession
    68
    32
  • Total Shots
    22
    8
  • Shots On Target
    8
    2
  • Shots Off Target
    8
    2
  • Corners
    10
    2
  • Crosses
    18
    6
  • Yellow Cards
    1
    3
  • Red Cards
    0
    0
  • Free Kicks
    8
    6
  • Offsides
    1
    1
  • Fouls Committed
    5
    7
  • Counterattacks
    4
    8
  • GK Saves
    1
    5
  • Goal Kicks
    4
    11
  • Throw Ins
    22
    14
  • Treatments
    0
    1
  • Substitutions
    4
    5

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Premier League Predictions

03 OCT FRIDAY

04 OCT SATURDAY

05 OCT SUNDAY

FAQ

  • Manchester City vs Burnley – Which team has the stronger record over their last 5 matches?

    Over their last 5 matches, Manchester City have tallied 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses. In the same span, Burnley have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats.

  • Who got on the scoresheet in the most recent Manchester City vs Burnley fixture?

    During the last Manchester City vs Burnley encounter, the goals came from Matheus Luiz Nunes, Erling Haaland, Jaidon Anthony.

  • Who are the leading goal-getters for Manchester City and Burnley in this Premier League 2025/2026 season?

    In the Premier League 2025/2026, Erling Haaland leads the scoring for Manchester City with 8 goals, while Jaidon Anthony tops the charts for Burnley with 4 goals.

  • Who leads defensively this Premier League 2025/2026 season – Manchester City or Burnley?

    The Premier League 2025/2026’s best defence belongs to Manchester City, who have shipped just 6 goals in 6 matches and kept 2 clean sheets. Their average goals conceded per game stands at only 1.00.

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Manchester City vs Burnley Stats

  • Goals Scored logo
  • Goals (ø)
  • 1st Half Goals
  • 2nd Half Goals
  • Early Goals (1'-10')
  • Late Goals (+85')
  • Penalty Goals
  • Headed Goals
  • Free Kick Goals
7
Team Logo Manchester City
14 6
18
Team Logo Burnley
6 6

Player Statistics

Name
Erling Haaland
8 1 0 0 6 503
Tijjani Reijnders
1 2 1 0 6 532
Phil Foden
1 0 1 0 4 263
Matheus Nunes
1 0 0 0 4 244
Rayan Cherki
1 0 0 0 2 71

Premier League Standings

7
The Manchester City logo
Manchester City
6 3 1 2 14:6 10
18
The Burnley logo
Burnley
6 1 1 4 6:13 4
Glossary
  • MP: Matches Played
  • W: Wins
  • D: Draws
  • L: Losses
  • G: Goals
  • P: Points

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