Hearts Of Midlothian FC

vs

Hibernian FC

Preview

Hearts (home)

• Hearts are unbeaten in 12 home games in the Premiership 2025/2026, winning eight and drawing four.
• Hearts Of Midlothian FC enter the first Edinburgh derby of 2026 on the back of a mixed bag of results with two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five Premiership outings.
• Derek McInnes has instilled a physical, direct and tough-to-break-down style in his team since taking over in May 2025 and, with two strikers up top and an abundance of set piece and wide delivery specialists, they are tough to play against.

Hibs (away)

• Hibs have lost each of their last two away games.
• Hibs have a different philosophy and approach, with David Gray having moulded the side since taking over in May 2024.
• Hibs are a pragmatic, shape-shifting team that can set up with wing-backs and flood the midfield or play a compact, possession-based system when needed.

Head-to-Head

• They traded wins in the 2025-26 campaign, with Hibernian winning 3-2 at Easter Road five weeks ago.
• That’s one win each in the two matches between them this season, with no side having dominated the other.
• There has been an average of one goal per fixture in their last five head-to-heads at Tynecastle.

Key Players

• Lawrence Shankland is Hearts’ key player with 11 goals in 21 Premiership games this term.
• Kieron Bowie is the talisman for Hibs with 9 goals in 22 Premiership outings this season.

Betting Insights

• Hearts are as short as 1.73 to win this game.
• Hibs are priced around 4.75.
• The under 2.5 goals line is trading at 1.83.
• Hearts average 2.08 goals per match at home and concede just 0.75.
• Hibs have won four, drawn four and lost four of their 12 away games, conceding 16 goals.

Prediction

• We’re backing Hearts to edge what should be a tight Edinburgh derby.
• The under 2.5 goals looks a sensible secondary play given recent head-to-head trends and Tynecastle form.