Greenock Morton (home)
- Morton’s recent form is a mixed bag of W1, D2 and L2 in their last five in all competitions, but they have been improving since the new manager took charge.
- In their two most recent home games they have 1 win and 1 draw, and although they have conceded 13 times in 11 games at home in the Championship, that is still a respectable average of 1.18 goals per game.
- Morton are favouring the flanks with early crosses and a wide build-up with transition speed but Ian Murray, who took over in January 2026, has made them more patient in their build-up and structured in possession.
Dunfermline (away)
- Neil Lennon is undoubtedly the best fit manager for Dunfermline’s players since he took charge in March 2025, bringing his usual structure, discipline and compactness in defence.
- His side are unbeaten in their last two away games, winning 1 and drawing 1, and travel to Greenock Morton as slight favourites at _2.36_.
- It is a great opportunity for Dunfermline, who are fifth in the Championship with 29 points from 22 games, to widen the gap over Morton, who are seventh with 26 points from 23.
- Dunfermline will set up with a back three and a compact mid-block, with a set-piece threat and patience to control the pace.
Head-to-Head
- Greenock Morton’s home record in the Championship is W3, D5, L3 in 11 matches.
- Dunfermline won the last meeting, 1-0, two months ago.
Key Players
- Andy Tod, with nine goals in 21 Championship appearances, is the main threat to Morton’s defence, while they will have to contend with Christopher Kane, who has scored two of Dunfermline's goals in their last 5.
- The Pars are a disciplined team who will try to frustrate their opponents and Morton are yet to find their most reliable goalscorer in the Championship, although Eamonn Brophy is on five, while Michael Garrity has been a spark with 2 in their last 5.
Betting Insights
- Although Dunfermline are narrow favorites, Morton are a big price at _2.92_ and the draw is _3.1_.
- With two solid defensive records, take the Under 2.5 goals line at _1.65_ to be a decent value bet in this matchup of contrasting styles.
Prediction
- Although Dunfermline are narrow favorites, Morton are a big price at _2.92_ and the draw is _3.1_.
- With two solid defensive records, take the Under 2.5 goals line at _1.65_.
