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  • +125 US
  • 6/9 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
Dunfermline logo
1 - 0
Full-Time
Greenock Morton logo
Championship
Scotland
/
Championship
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KDM Group East End Park

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Dunfermline vs Greenock Morton Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    1.93
    1X2
    Dunfermline
    Won
    Explanation
    • Dunfermline has won 3 of their last 5 matches, including a strong 4-0 victory, showing good current form.
    • Dunfermline averages 1.5 goals per game and holds a +7 goal difference, suggesting more control over matches.
    • Head-to-head at Dunfermline's ground includes a 2-1 win and a 0-0 draw, indicating they handle Greenock Morton well at home.
  • Tipped at
    1.48
    Over/Under
    Under 2.5
    Won
    Explanation
    • Greenock Morton scores only 1.0 goal per match on average and their games often produce low totals, favoring under 2.5.
    • Dunfermline's home matches average just 2.14 total goals, below 2.5, pointing to tighter, lower-scoring home fixtures.
    • Three of the last four head-to-head meetings finished with two or fewer goals, suggesting low-scoring encounters.
  • Tipped at
    1.65
    Both Teams To Score
    No
    Won
    Explanation
    • Matches involving Dunfermline see both teams score in only 26.67% overall and just 22.22% at home, so BTTS is unlikely.
    • Recent Dunfermline results include 2-0 and 1-0 wins and a 0-0 H2H draw, showing they often keep opponents off the scoresheet.
    • Greenock Morton averages 1.25 away goals but has conceded 7 away; against Dunfermline's home defense they may struggle to score.

Predictions

Dunfermline

  • A mid-table Scottish Championship 2025/2026 clash is at stake when Dunfermline (5th) host Greenock Morton (6th) at East End Park.
  • But more than the standings is at play here as both sides try to use this fixture as a springboard for momentum.
  • Neil Lennon has had plenty of time to instil his pragmatic, structured approach to the game since taking charge of Dunfermline in March 2025.
  • He has built a solid foundation by getting the team organised in a 3-5-2 or 3-4-1-2 formation, with a back three that are compact, a midblock that holds its shape and discipline, and a solid platform to build from at the back.
  • This Dunfermline vs Greenock Morton betting tips analysis looks at a home team that have won two, drawn three and lost two of their seven home games in this season’s Championship, scoring 1.14 goals per match and conceding 1.00 on average.
  • They will look to stifle Morton and control the tempo here.
  • Dunfermline are unbeaten in 2 home games (W1, D1).

Greenock Morton

  • Greenock Morton are in good form and have taken points from 2 of their last 3 away matches.
  • The visitors should try and disrupt them with pace and pressure higher up the field.
  • Dougie Imrie has had his Morton side playing a more fluid 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3 system since his arrival in December 2021 and they have been more of an attacking threat.
  • Morton have two wins, five draws and just one defeat from their eight away games in the Championship 2025/2026 season, conceding just 0.88 goals per away match.
  • Given the visitors have won their last two and taken points in two of their last three on the road, they could definitely muck up the fixture’s mid-table result with the momentum a win would bring.

Head-to-Head

Greenock Morton have the edge in the recent head-to-heads, but the Pars have a solid home record and are worthy favorites. However, our Dunfermline vs Greenock Morton prediction sees this being a tightly-contested affair with minimal clear-cut chances for either side.


Key Players

  • But there could be a couple of chances to be had at either end with Kris Moore hitting two in five for the Ton, giving them a bit of a spark in the front third while Eamonn Brophy remains their top scorer with three goals from 13 games.
  • Andy Tod has been Dunfermline’s danger man with eight goals from 13 Championship games and has four of the team's last 11 goals.

Betting Insights

  • Lennon has done an excellent job at the Pars and they will come into this as the favorites at 1.93, with Morton the underdogs at 3.92 and the draw a decent 3.06.
  • The market also points to few goals with under 2.5 goals at 1.53. To help with your selections, this Dunfermline vs Greenock Morton betting tips section underlines that careful attention should be paid to the likely low-scoring nature of the match.

Prediction

This is going to be a close, tactical match with few goals, and I’m expecting the hosts to squeeze out the win.

Dunfermline logo

Last 50 H2H matches

  • 17
    Won
  • 11
    Draw
  • 22
    Won
Greenock Morton logo

Last Matches

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FAQ

  • Dunfermline vs Greenock Morton – Which team has the stronger record over their last 5 matches?

    Over their last 5 matches, Dunfermline have tallied 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. In the same span, Greenock Morton have managed 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats.

  • Who got on the scoresheet in the most recent Dunfermline vs Greenock Morton fixture?

    During the last Dunfermline vs Greenock Morton encounter, the goals came from Matty Todd, Cameron Blues, Kieran Ngwenya, Andy Tod.

  • Who are the leading goal-getters for Dunfermline and Greenock Morton in this Championship 2025/2026 season?

    In the Championship 2025/2026, Andy Tod leads the scoring for Dunfermline with 13 goals, while Eamonn Brophy tops the charts for Greenock Morton with 6 goals.

  • Who leads defensively this Championship 2025/2026 season – Dunfermline or Greenock Morton?

    The Championship 2025/2026’s best defence belongs to Dunfermline, who have shipped just 41 goals in 36 matches and kept 15 clean sheets. Their average goals conceded per game stands at only 1.14.

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Stats

  • Goals Scored logo
  • Goals (ø)
  • 1st Half Goals
  • 2nd Half Goals
  • Early Goals (1'-10')
  • Late Goals (+85')
  • Penalty Goals
  • Headed Goals
  • Free Kick Goals
4
Team Logo Dunfermline
52 36
8
Team Logo Greenock Morton
36 36

Player Statistics

Name
Andy Tod
13 3 2 0 32 2469
Christopher Kane
6 1 2 0 26 940
Barney Stewart
6 0 0 0 11 650
Callum Morrison
5 1 2 0 12 910
Kieran Ngwenya
4 0 5 1 15 1267

Championship Standings

4
The Dunfermline logo
36 14 9 13 52:41 51
8
The Greenock Morton logo
36 8 14 14 36:52 38
Glossary
  • MP: Matches Played
  • W: Wins
  • D: Draws
  • L: Losses
  • G: Goals
  • P: Points

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