Fortuna Sittard

vs

AZ Alkmaar

Preview

Fortuna Sittard (Home)

• Fortuna Sittard’s home record in the Eredivisie this term is four wins, two draws and two defeats from eight.
• They have conceded just ten goals in those eight home games, so we don’t expect AZ to run riot here.
• Danny Buijs has taken a different approach to Fortuna since taking over in July 2023, preferring a more pragmatic, shape-first philosophy that is based around a deep or low-to-mid block and trying to hit the opposition with vertical balls or set pieces.
• Mohammed Ihattaren is their creative spark and their top Eredivisie scorer this season with four goals from 14 appearances.

AZ Alkmaar (Away)

• AZ Alkmaar are the favorites for Sunday’s away game at Fortuna Sittard, but the hosts have a decent record on home field in 2025-2026 that should make the visitors work for all three points.
• Maarten Martens has installed a very clear tactical identity since taking over at AZ in January 2024 with a midfield-focused, possession-based system that varies from 4-3-3 to 4-2-3-1 depending on the matchup.
• Their away form has been mixed, but they have won 2 of their last 3 visits to Fortuna, and the most recent head-to-head was a 1-0 home win for AZ nine months ago in the Eredivisie.

Head-to-Head

• AZ have won 2 of their last 3 away games.
• AZ won the most recent meeting 1-0 (nine months ago).

Key Players

• Players to watch:
  • Sven Mijnans has been AZ’s most influential player of late, netting three of their nine goals in the club’s last five games, so he is our pick for an anytime goal on Sunday.
  • Troy Parrott is the Chemicals’ most consistent scoring source, however, with eight goals in ten Eredivisie appearances in 2025-26.
  • Mohammed Ihattaren is their creative spark and their top Eredivisie scorer this season with four goals from 14 appearances.

Betting Insights

• The visitors are likely to dominate the ball and Fortuna will try to hit on the break, so an open matchup could develop with both teams getting their chances.
• The Over 2.5 goals market is favored at 1.62 and there are enough reasons to support that theory.

Prediction

• AZ Alkmaar to edge Fortuna Sittard again.
• An open game with chances at both ends makes Over 2.5 goals a plausible outcome.