Fenerbahçe SK
- Fenerbahce SK are odds-on favorites at 1.61 for this one-off 2026 Süper Kupa semi-final against 5.22 outsiders Samsunspor.
-
Recent form:
- Unbeaten in five competitive matches (W3, D2).
- These include a 4-0 win over Konyaspor and a high-scoring derby draw with arch-rivals Galatasaray.
- The 2025-26 Süper Lig table has Fenerbahçe in the top four with 39 points from 17 games.
- Domenico Tedesco’s appointment in September 2025 has revitalised the club’s attack with a modern pressing game, control, creativity and ball movement that have made them one of the most dangerous sides in the league.
Samsunspor
- Samsunspor were also in fine form, losing 2-1 to AEK in UEFA, 3-2 to Galatasaray in Süper Lig and winning 4-1 at Kasımpaşa in their last five.
- The 2025-26 Süper Lig table has Samsunspor in the European places with 25 points from 17 games.
- Thomas Reis’ hard work and tactical discipline have turned them into a hard-to-beat and solid unit in 2025-26.
- The Black Seagulls are a compact and high-pressing team that aims to disrupt the opposition’s build-up and hit them on the counter.
Head-to-Head
- Fenerbahçe SK have dominated the modern head-to-head record with Samsunspor, winning five and drawing seven of the last 13 meetings in all competitions.
- Draws are a frequent outcome in this matchup.
Key Players
-
Goalkeepers and defence:
- Okan Kocuk has been a world class keeper for Samsunspor this season and the number of clean sheets and important saves he has made since the start of 2025 have been the platform for their over-performance.
- The defensive solidity comes from Milan Škriniar and Çağlar Söyüncü as a centre-back pairing.
-
Fenerbahçe attackers:
- Youssef En-Nesyri is Fener’s leading scorer in 2025 and is always a threat in the penalty box.
- Marco Asensio and Anderson Talisca have brought a spark to their play, with Asensio delivering multi-goal performances in recent league matches.
-
Samsunspor attackers and midfield:
- Marius Mouandilmadji and Anthony Musaba are the most prolific in holding-up play for Samsunspor.
- Carlo Holse has chipped in with some vital goals and assists from midfield.
- Olivier Ntcham and Emre Kılınç are the glue that binds the team together.
Betting Insights
- Fenerbahce are favourites, reflected in the 1.61 odds.
- The Under 2.5 goals bet is available at 2.01 and could appeal in a cagey semi-final.
Prediction
- Fenerbahçe are the clear favourites but Samsunspor should hold firm and make this a close match.
- The pick is a 2-1 win for the favourites because Asensio’s skill and experience will make the difference.
