Estrela Amadora

vs

Famalicao

Preview

Estrela Amadora

• Estrela Amadora have lost their last five Primeira Liga matches, including their last two home league games.
• Cristiano Bacci’s side have been in freefall recently, losing all five of their matches and dropping to 15th in the standings with just 28 points from 32 games.
• Estrela’s recent instability, particularly at the back where they have conceded 1.5 goals per home game in the Primeira Liga, makes them unappealing at the odds-on mark to get a goal.

Famalicao

• Famalicao are unbeaten in five Primeira Liga games, W1, D4, and have won one and drawn two of their last three league trips.
• Famalicao will travel to Lisbon in a much more solid mood with their unbeaten run of five games giving them confidence of their ability to finish in the top eight.
• Their 2-2 draws with both Braga and Benfica in the last month were particularly impressive and they now sit fifth in the Primeira Liga with 52 points from 32 matches.

Head-to-Head

• Estrela Amadora have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five meetings with Famalicao.
• Bacci’s men were a shock 3-2 winners at Famalicao in the Primeira Liga four months ago, but the visitors look in much better shape under Hugo Oliveira these days.

Key Players

• Jovane Cabral is Estrela’s most consistent goal threat this season with seven goals in 25 Primeira Liga appearances, while he has scored two of his team’s last three.
• Justin De Haas, with five goals in 29 league games, is the best bet for an anytime goal for Famalicao as he has the ability to unlock a packed defence.

Betting Insights

• Instead, we are taking the better price available on the away victory at 2.07 and going for a high-scoring affair with Over 2.5 goals at 1.91.
• Famalicao also average 0.94 goals per away game in the Primeira Liga, suggesting they will get enough chances to win this contest against a leaky home team.

Prediction