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  • 2.25 Decimal
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  5. Derby County vs Southampton Betting Tips & Match Predictions
Derby County logo
2 days
04.10, 09:00
Southampton logo
  • +235
  • X
    +240
  • +127
Championship
England
/
Championship
/
Pride Park

Derby County
vs
Southampton
Predictions & Betting Tips

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Derby County logo

Last 5 H2H matches

  • 2
    Won
  • 2
    Draw
  • 1
    Won
Southampton logo

Derby County vs Southampton Predictions

Derby County (Home)

  • Derby County are 21st in the Championship with 6 points from 7 games, 1 place and 1 point behind Southampton.
  • John Eustace took over as Derby County head coach in February 2025, prioritising defensive structure and stability through a pragmatic 4-2-3-1 system that focuses on solidity, transitions and set-pieces.
  • The Rams have won just one of their seven matches to date.
  • This Derby County vs Southampton prediction is relevant as Derby lost 1-0 at home to Preston North End and drew 1-1 away to Wrexham.
  • Derby have averaged 2.33 goals conceded per game at home this season.

Southampton (Away)

  • Southampton are currently in 19th place with 7 points from 7 games.
  • Southampton are winless in their last 5 competitive games (D3, L2).
  • Southampton's recent results include a 3-1 away defeat to Hull City and a 1-1 home draw against Middlesbrough.
  • Will Still took over at St Mary's in July 2025 and established a high-tempo, aggressive pressing style that creates chances, particularly through central areas.

Key Players

  • Adam Armstrong - 2 goals in 7 Championship games and 2 of Southampton’s last 5 goals have come via him.
  • Carlton Morris - Derby’s biggest attacking threat with 4 goals in 7 games.

Betting Insights

  • Southampton are around 2.25 to win, Derby are 3.0 and the draw is 3.6.
  • The Over 2.5 goals market is priced at 1.68.
  • Derby have conceded 7 goals at home so far this season.
  • Southampton have scored 4 goals and shipped 6 away from home this term.
  • Our Derby County vs Southampton betting tips suggest high potential for goals given both teams' defensive records.

Prediction

  • Saints to take the points in a close game.
  • Stick with Southampton at 2.25.

Derby County vs Southampton Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    3.60
    1X2 - Ordinary Time
    Draw
    Open
    Explanation
    • Derby County has drawn 3 of its last 5 matches and shows a recent pattern of shared points.
    • Southampton has 4 draws in the competition and 3 draws in its last 5 games, favoring stalemates.
    • Both sides have only one win each and similar scoring form, suggesting a tight, even match.
  • Tipped at
    1.70
    Over/Under - Ordinary Time
    Over 2.5
    Open
    Explanation
    • Matches with Derby County average 3.14 total goals and Derby County home games average 3.67 goals.
    • Southampton away fixtures average 3.33 total goals and recent games included several 3-4 goal results.
    • Recent head-to-head-like fixtures show multiple 3+ goal games (e.g. 2-2,1-3), supporting over 2.5.
  • Tipped at
    1.61
    Both Teams To Score - Ordinary Time
    Yes
    Open
    Explanation
    • Southampton has both teams scoring in 66.67% of its matches, indicating they often concede or score.
    • Derby County concedes 1.86 goals per game and recently had multiple 1-1 and 2-2 results, so they leak goals.
    • Recent matches include many BTTS results (1-1,2-2,1-3,1-2), pointing to both teams finding the net.

Derby County vs Southampton Odds

1X2 - Ordinary Time
Bookmakers
  • Home
  • Draw
  • Away
  • Bookmaker Logo
  • Bookmaker Logo
  • Bookmaker Logo

Derby County vs Southampton Last Matches

  • N/A
    N/A
    Derby County logo
    Southampton
    5
    Derby County logo
    Derby County
    7
  • N/A
    N/A
    Southampton logo
    Derby County
    2
    Southampton logo
    Southampton
    2
  • N/A
    N/A
    Southampton logo
    Derby County
    3
    Southampton logo
    Southampton
    0
  • N/A
    N/A
    Derby County logo
    Southampton
    4
    Derby County logo
    Derby County
    0
  • N/A
    N/A
    Southampton logo
    Derby County
    1
    Southampton logo
    Southampton
    1

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Championship Predictions

01 OCT WEDNESDAY

03 OCT FRIDAY

04 OCT SATURDAY

05 OCT SUNDAY

FAQ

  • When is kick-off for Derby County vs Southampton?

    Kick-off for Derby County against Southampton is scheduled for 04 Oct 2025 09:00.

  • Who’s offering the most competitive Match Winner prices for Derby County vs Southampton?

    Top Match Winner odds for Derby County vs Southampton: Derby County victory – 3.36 at Pinnacle, Draw – 3.40 at Fonbet, Southampton victory – 2.27 at Dafabet Sports.

  • Derby County vs Southampton – Which team has the stronger record over their last 5 matches?

    Over their last 5 matches, Derby County have tallied 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses. In the same span, Southampton have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats.

  • Which bookmaker leads the market for Both Teams to Score odds in Derby County vs Southampton?

    Fonbet tops the market for BTTS odds in Derby County vs Southampton, offering 1.87 on ‘Yes’.

  • Which bookmaker tops the chart for Goals odds in the Derby County vs Southampton game?

    In the Derby County vs Southampton encounter, the best Over/Under 2.5 Goals prices are: Over 2.5 Goals at 2.15 from Pinnacle, and Under 2.5 Goals at 1.77 from BetVictor Casino.

  • Who offers the most competitive Goalscorer prices for Derby County vs Southampton?

    In the Derby County vs Southampton clash, the shortest odds to score belong to Ross Stewart, available at 3.40 from 888sport.

  • Who are the leading goal-getters for Derby County and Southampton in this Championship 2025/2026 season?

    In the Championship 2025/2026, Carlton Morris leads the scoring for Derby County with 4 goals, while Adam Armstrong tops the charts for Southampton with 2 goals.

  • Who leads defensively this Championship 2025/2026 season – Derby County or Southampton?

    The Championship 2025/2026’s best defence belongs to Southampton, who have shipped just 11 goals in 8 matches and kept 1 clean sheets. Their average goals conceded per game stands at only 1.38.

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Derby County vs Southampton Stats

  • Goals Scored logo
  • Goals (ø)
  • 1st Half Goals
  • 2nd Half Goals
  • Early Goals (1'-10')
  • Late Goals (+85')
  • Penalty Goals
  • Headed Goals
  • Free Kick Goals
14
Team Logo Southampton
10 8
20
Team Logo Derby County
10 8

Player Statistics

Name
Carlton Morris
4 0 3 0 8 720
Matthew Clarke
1 0 2 0 8 720
Ebou Adams
1 0 4 0 8 643
Callum Elder
1 0 1 0 6 494
Ben Brereton Diaz
1 0 1 0 4 311

Championship Standings
14
The Southampton logo
Southampton
 8 2 4 2 10:11 10
20
The Derby County logo
Derby County
 8 1 4 3 10:14 7
Glossary
  • MP: Matches Played
  • W: Wins
  • D: Draws
  • L: Losses
  • G: Goals
  • P: Points

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