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  • +125 US
  • 6/9 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
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  5. Derby County vs Southampton Betting Tips & Match Predictions
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Derby County vs Southampton Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    3.60
    1X2 - Ordinary Time
    Draw
    Won
    Explanation
    • Derby County has drawn 3 of its last 5 matches and shows a recent pattern of shared points.
    • Southampton has 4 draws in the competition and 3 draws in its last 5 games, favoring stalemates.
    • Both sides have only one win each and similar scoring form, suggesting a tight, even match.
  • Tipped at
    1.70
    Over/Under - Ordinary Time
    Over 2.5
    Lost
    Explanation
    • Matches with Derby County average 3.14 total goals and Derby County home games average 3.67 goals.
    • Southampton away fixtures average 3.33 total goals and recent games included several 3-4 goal results.
    • Recent head-to-head-like fixtures show multiple 3+ goal games (e.g. 2-2,1-3), supporting over 2.5.
  • Tipped at
    1.61
    Both Teams To Score - Ordinary Time
    Yes
    Won
    Explanation
    • Southampton has both teams scoring in 66.67% of its matches, indicating they often concede or score.
    • Derby County concedes 1.86 goals per game and recently had multiple 1-1 and 2-2 results, so they leak goals.
    • Recent matches include many BTTS results (1-1,2-2,1-3,1-2), pointing to both teams finding the net.

Predictions

Derby County (Home)

  • Derby County are 21st in the Championship with 6 points from 7 games, 1 place and 1 point behind Southampton.
  • John Eustace took over as Derby County head coach in February 2025, prioritising defensive structure and stability through a pragmatic 4-2-3-1 system that focuses on solidity, transitions and set-pieces.
  • The Rams have won just one of their seven matches to date.
  • This Derby County vs Southampton prediction is relevant as Derby lost 1-0 at home to Preston North End and drew 1-1 away to Wrexham.
  • Derby have averaged 2.33 goals conceded per game at home this season.

Southampton (Away)

  • Southampton are currently in 19th place with 7 points from 7 games.
  • Southampton are winless in their last 5 competitive games (D3, L2).
  • Southampton's recent results include a 3-1 away defeat to Hull City and a 1-1 home draw against Middlesbrough.
  • Will Still took over at St Mary's in July 2025 and established a high-tempo, aggressive pressing style that creates chances, particularly through central areas.

Key Players

  • Adam Armstrong - 2 goals in 7 Championship games and 2 of Southampton’s last 5 goals have come via him.
  • Carlton Morris - Derby’s biggest attacking threat with 4 goals in 7 games.

Betting Insights

  • Southampton are around 2.25 to win, Derby are 3.0 and the draw is 3.6.
  • The Over 2.5 goals market is priced at 1.68.
  • Derby have conceded 7 goals at home so far this season.
  • Southampton have scored 4 goals and shipped 6 away from home this term.
  • Our Derby County vs Southampton betting tips suggest high potential for goals given both teams' defensive records.

Prediction

  • Saints to take the points in a close game.
  • Stick with Southampton at 2.25.
Derby County logo

Last 7 H2H matches

  • 2
    Won
  • 3
    Draw
  • 2
    Won
Southampton logo

Last Matches

Live Stats

Live Stats

  • Possession
    37
    63
  • Total Shots
    9
    13
  • Shots On Target
    5
    6
  • Shots Off Target
    4
    4
  • Corners
    3
    5
  • Yellow Cards
    4
    2
  • Red Cards
    0
    0
  • Free Kicks
    11
    12
  • Offsides
    1
    2
  • Fouls Committed
    11
    9
  • GK Saves
    5
    4

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Championship Predictions

14 APR TUESDAY

17 APR FRIDAY

18 APR SATURDAY

FAQ

  • Derby County vs Southampton – Which team has the stronger record over their last 5 matches?

    Over their last 5 matches, Derby County have tallied 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses. In the same span, Southampton have managed 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 defeats.

  • Who got on the scoresheet in the most recent Derby County vs Southampton fixture?

    During the last Derby County vs Southampton encounter, the goals came from Leo Scienza, Taylor Harwood-Bellis, Carlton Morris.

  • Who are the leading goal-getters for Derby County and Southampton in this Championship 2025/2026 season?

    In the Championship 2025/2026, Carlton Morris leads the scoring for Derby County with 12 goals, while Adam Armstrong tops the charts for Southampton with 11 goals.

  • Who leads defensively this Championship 2025/2026 season – Derby County or Southampton?

    The Championship 2025/2026’s best defence belongs to Southampton, who have shipped just 50 goals in 42 matches and kept 11 clean sheets. Their average goals conceded per game stands at only 1.19.

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Stats

  • Goals Scored logo
  • Goals (ø)
  • 1st Half Goals
  • 2nd Half Goals
  • Early Goals (1'-10')
  • Late Goals (+85')
  • Penalty Goals
  • Headed Goals
  • Free Kick Goals
4
Team Logo Southampton
73 42
8
Team Logo Derby County
61 42

Player Statistics

Name
Carlton Morris
12 1 5 0 27 1760
Patrick Agyemang
10 3 6 0 37 2741
Ben Brereton Diaz
7 3 6 0 36 2730
Rhian Brewster
7 2 1 0 29 1460
Matthew Clarke
3 3 7 1 41 3684

Championship Standings
4
The Southampton logo
Southampton
 42 20 12 10 73:50 72
8
The Derby County logo
Derby County
 42 18 9 15 61:53 63
Glossary
  • MP: Matches Played
  • W: Wins
  • D: Draws
  • L: Losses
  • G: Goals
  • P: Points

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