Select Odds Display Type
  • +125 US
  • 6/9 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
Corinthians Paulista logo
3 - 1
Full-Time
Sao Paulo FC logo
Serie A
Brazil
/
Serie A

Corinthians Paulista
vs
Sao Paulo FC
Preview

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Corinthians Paulista vs Sao Paulo FC Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    3.00
    1X2 - Ordinary Time
    Draw
    Lost
    Explanation
    • Season points and goal totals are close: Corinthians Paulista has 42 pts and Sao Paulo FC 45, so a draw is plausible.
    • Recent form is mixed: Corinthians Paulista won 3 of its last 5 while Sao Paulo FC has inconsistent results, pointing to a tight game.
    • Head-to-head is tight: a 2-2 draw and narrow 1-2 and 1-3 results suggest another close, drawn scoreline.
  • Tipped at
    1.56
    Over/Under - Ordinary Time
    Under 2.5
    Lost
    Explanation
    • Both teams average about 2.21 total goals per match, under the 2.5 mark, favoring a low-scoring game.
    • Corinthians Paulista scores 1.06 and Sao Paulo FC 1.12 goals per match on average, so few goals are expected overall.
    • Recent scorelines include many 0-1 and 1-0 games for Corinthians Paulista and 2-0/0-1 for Sao Paulo FC, indicating low scoring.
  • Tipped at
    1.71
    Both Teams To Score - Ordinary Time
    No
    Lost
    Explanation
    • Sao Paulo FC's matches see both teams score in only 17.65% of cases, so they often keep clean sheets or concede none.
    • Corinthians Paulista concedes just 14 goals at home (0.88 avg) and has several recent 1-0/0-1 results, hinting at single-sided scores.
    • In the last five matches each side had only one game with both teams scoring, so another one-sided game is likely.

Predictions

Sao Paulo FC

  • Sao Paulo FC have made a strong start under the guidance of Hernán Crespo who was appointed as their manager in June 2025.
  • James Rodríguez is the orchestrator of this in midfield, but Luciano Neves has been the biggest surprise as a striker, scoring two of Sao Paulo’s last six goals in the last five games.

Corinthians Paulista

  • Dorival Junior took charge of Corinthians Paulista in April 2025 and has established a more pragmatic style for the club.
  • They tend to favour a 4-2-3-1 formation with the ability to switch to a 4-4-2 with plenty of compactness and defensive discipline.
  • Their style is not to be negative, but they will not be caught out of shape often, preferring to make use of their good set-piece players to create chances, and our Corinthians Paulista vs Sao Paulo FC betting tips suggest that set pieces could be crucial in deciding the outcome.

Head-to-Head

  • Sao Paulo FC are 9th in Serie A with 45 points from 33 games and Corinthians Paulista are 13th with 42 points from the same number of games.
  • Sao Paulo FC have won twice and drawn once in the last three head-to-head games.
  • Corinthians Paulista have failed to win any of their last two home games against Sao Paulo FC.

Key Players

  • James Rodríguez is the orchestrator of this in midfield, but Luciano Neves has been the biggest surprise as a striker, scoring two of Sao Paulo’s last six goals in the last five games.
  • Yuri Alberto remains the main outlet for Corinthians to break the deadlock with his movement and skill in transition while Cássio’s leadership and shot-stopping will be crucial at the other end. Further, this Corinthians Paulista vs Sao Paulo FC betting tips analysis highlights how key contributions from both sides' leaders could define the match.

Betting Insights

  • With Sao Paulo FC the slight favorite at 3.76 and Corinthians Paulista at 2.23 we are going to pass on the outright bets for this Majestoso derby and take the lower odds on under 2.5 goals at 1.55.
  • These teams are relatively similar in terms of form with Corinthians having won three and lost two of their last five in Serie A, while Sao Paulo FC have won two, drawn one and lost two.
  • Corinthians Paulista have won seven of their 16 home matches in Serie A 2025, with four draws and five defeats, scoring 21 goals.

Prediction

The contrast between Corinthians’ structured, compact and disciplined style of play and Sao Paulo’s proactive, high-pressing and attacking style could lead to this being a chess match and whoever gets the better of the transition moments could secure the win on the night. For those interested in analysis, this Corinthians Paulista vs Sao Paulo FC prediction emphasizes the tactical battle expected in this encounter.

Corinthians Paulista logo

Last 64 H2H matches

  • 25
    Won
  • 19
    Draw
  • 20
    Won
Sao Paulo FC logo

Last Matches

  • Jan 18 2026
    Paulista Serie A1
    Sao Paulo FC logo
    Corinthians Paulista
    1
    Sao Paulo FC logo
    Sao Paulo FC
    1
  • Nov 20 2025
    Serie A
    Sao Paulo FC logo
    Corinthians Paulista
    3
    Sao Paulo FC logo
    Sao Paulo FC
    1
  • N/A
    N/A
    Corinthians Paulista logo
    Sao Paulo FC
    2
    Corinthians Paulista logo
    Corinthians Paulista
    0
  • N/A
    N/A
    Corinthians Paulista logo
    Sao Paulo FC
    3
    Corinthians Paulista logo
    Corinthians Paulista
    1
  • Sept 29 2024
    Serie A
    Corinthians Paulista logo
    Sao Paulo FC
    3
    Corinthians Paulista logo
    Corinthians Paulista
    1

Live Stats

Live Stats

  • Possession
    47
    53
  • Shots On Target
    5
    2
  • Shots Off Target
    6
    1
  • Corners
    4
    5
  • Yellow Cards
    1
    2
  • Red Cards
    0
    0
  • Free Kicks
    15
    0
  • Offsides
    0
    2
  • Fouls Committed
    16
    15
  • GK Saves
    1
    2
  • Goal Kicks
    1
    9

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Serie A Predictions

10 MAR TUESDAY

11 MAR WEDNESDAY

12 MAR THURSDAY

FAQ

  • Corinthians Paulista vs Sao Paulo FC – Which team has the stronger record over their last 5 matches?

    Over their last 5 matches, Corinthians Paulista have tallied 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses. In the same span, Sao Paulo FC have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 defeats.

  • Who are the leading goal-getters for Corinthians Paulista and Sao Paulo FC in this Serie A 2025 season?

    In the Serie A 2025, Yuri Alberto leads the scoring for Corinthians Paulista with 10 goals, while Luciano Neves tops the charts for Sao Paulo FC with 9 goals.

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Stats

  • Goals Scored logo
  • Goals (ø)
  • 1st Half Goals
  • 2nd Half Goals
  • Early Goals (1'-10')
  • Late Goals (+85')
  • Penalty Goals
  • Headed Goals
  • Free Kick Goals
There is no data available for your selection

Serie A Standings

8
The Sao Paulo FC logo
Sao Paulo FC
38 14 9 15 43:47 51
13
The Corinthians Paulista logo
Corinthians Paulista
38 12 11 15 42:47 47
Glossary
  • MP: Matches Played
  • W: Wins
  • D: Draws
  • L: Losses
  • G: Goals
  • P: Points

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