Chaves
- Chaves have lost momentum of late, losing four and drawing one of their last five games.
- Filipe Martins took over as manager on July 1st, 2025 and immediately implemented a 4-4-2 system that is pragmatic and looks for a collective structure rather than individual brilliance.
- His team sit in 9th place in the Liga Segunda 2025/2026 table with 27 points from 20 games and that is because Martins has brought some solidity to the side, but they haven’t produced any better results lately.
- Chaves lost 1-0 away to Benfica B, then drew 2-2 at home to Lusitania Lourosa, before losing 1-0 at Felgueiras 1932 on their travels last time out.
- Roberto has been their chief goal threat, scoring eight goals in 19 league games this term, but the midfield have been structured to support him well.
Penafiel
- Penafiel is 18th with 20 points from 20 matches, but a couple of managerial changes at the club have seen them go through a transition in style of play.
- Pedro Russiano was appointed on July 11th, 2025 and was trying to get Penafiel playing a high-pressing style of soccer with quick transitions, but the club has turned to a more balanced and disciplined approach under Aira.
- Penafiel have managed just two wins, two draws and six defeats in their 10 away games in Liga Segunda 2025/2026, averaging just 1.00 goal per game on the road.
Head-to-Head
- Chaves have failed to win any of their last 3 home games (D1, L2).
- Chaves have conceded 10 goals in 10 home games this season.
Key Players
- Roberto has been their chief goal threat, scoring eight goals in 19 league games this term, but the midfield have been structured to support him well.
- Reko is Penafiel’s main goal threat with five goals in 19 matches this season, so the midfield have needed to step up and support him, especially on their travels.
Betting Insights
- This won’t be a free-scoring game with Chaves at 1.71 favourites for a win and Penafiel at 4.85 the dark horses.
- Under 2.5 goals is the best play at 1.7, as the home side, who are higher up the league and should have the quality to come out on top, have been in poor form.
Prediction
Chaves edged Penafiel 2-0 away from home in this fixture five months ago in Liga Segunda 2025/2026, but it’s hard to back that result again, so I’m taking the under in goals .
