AZ Alkmaar
- AZ are favourites to extend their dominance over their guests on Sunday, and our AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior Rotterdam prediction gives them the edge, but Excelsior Rotterdam will be a tough nut to crack.
- AZ have 3 wins, 3 draws and only 1 defeat from their 7 home Eredivisie 2025/2026 matches so far and have scored an impressive 18 goals at home this term.
- Maarten Martens has done a great job with AZ since taking over in January 2024 and his side play an aggressive 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1 system that focuses heavily on high pressing, short passing and vertical progression, with their full-backs acting as wide forwards.
- Parrott is the main goal threat, having hit 8 Eredivisie 2025/2026 goals in 10 appearances this term, and the creative spark of the midfield three has to spark the offense.
Excelsior Rotterdam
- Excelsior Rotterdam are fighting for their lives in the Eredivisie 2025-2026, sitting 13th in the standings and looking to get some breathing space away from the bottom three.
- Ruben den Uil has done a good job since July 2024 and his pragmatic 4-2-3-1 system focuses on defensive solidity and counter-attacking.
- Excelsior are compact and tough to break down but can cause problems on the counter and from set pieces, while Naujoks is in the form of his life with 4 goals in his last 5 games and all of Excelsior’s goals in this period.
Head-to-Head
AZ Alkmaar are unbeaten in their last 5 meetings with Excelsior Rotterdam (W4, D1).
Key Players
- Parrott is the main goal threat, having hit 8 Eredivisie 2025/2026 goals in 10 appearances this term, and the creative spark of the midfield three has to spark the offense.
- Naujoks is in the form of his life with 4 goals in his last 5 games and all of Excelsior’s goals in this period.
Betting Insights
- The bookmakers make AZ heavy favourites here at 1.3, with Excelsior at a long shot 8.3 to take all three points, but we feel this AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior Rotterdam betting tips can find some value in the Over 2.5 goals market which is heavily weighted at 1.33, so we’re taking a chance on that here.
- There should be plenty of chances in this game as AZ’s attacking intent and pressing will clash with the deep, compact system of Excelsior, which should make for a classic press vs block matchup. Our AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior Rotterdam betting tips also suggest both teams could get on the scoresheet.
Prediction
Given the home form of AZ , their dominance in the recent head-to-head record, and Excelsior ’s average of 2.43 goals conceded per game on the road this season, we feel AZ should be able to secure all three points.
