Arka Gdynia
- Arka Gdynia have won six, drawn two and lost only one of their nine home Ekstraklasa games in 2025-2026.
- The home side are 14th with 21 points from 18 games in Ekstraklasa 2025/2026, having shown some resilience in mid-table obscurity.
- Dawid Szwarga, who has led the team since December 2024, has set up a pragmatic side that sets up with a compact and organized block, patiently building up and then exploding into the attack.
KP Legia Warszawa
- KP Legia Warszawa have won only one and lost four of their last five games.
- Marek Papszun, who took charge of Legia at the end of 2025, has seen his side struggle on the road in the league (W1, D3, L5).
Key Players
- Eduardo Espiau has scored five league goals in 16 appearances for Arka this season, including three of their last five, making him their biggest threat to the opposition goal.
- Legia’s leading goal-scorer is Mileta Rajovic, who has scored three times in 18 games.
- Bartosz Kapustka, however, has the better recent form with two goals in his last five appearances and looks the more likely source of goals this Saturday.
Betting Insights
- They have been even worse than their away form suggests of late, losing their last two away games, so the bookmakers odds on Legia to win at 1.9, with Arka 4.0 and the draw 3.4, seem like they are a bit off for this fixture.
- Both Teams To Score looks like a good play at 1.8, however, as there should be plenty of chances at both ends in what is likely to be a tactical, tense game.
- Arka are averaging 1.44 goals per game at home in the Ekstraklasa, while Legia are conceding an average of 1.56 goals per away game - the visitors also average just 0.89 goals for per away league game, so we think home advantage should tell.
Prediction
Given the psychological importance of the game for Arka, who are looking to upset the long-term trend in this fixture, we think there’s a chance for the home team to win .