Alloa Athletic
- Alloa Athletic have lost their most recent two matches, losing 5-4 away at Montrose three days ago, but their form coming into that game was three wins and two defeats in five.
- The Wasps are in good form at home, where they have won seven of 14 matches in League One 2025/2026, drawing five and losing just two, and have scored 1.64 goals per game while conceding just 0.71 per match on average.
- Andy Graham’s men have a pragmatic, low-risk style that keeps the ball down and allows them to punish opponents on the break or from set-pieces, and it’s a recipe that has allowed them to keep things compact and defend with discipline.
- The goal threat of Callum Burnside has been a key factor in Alloa’s success, having netted nine goals in 20 League One appearances this season, including seven of Alloa’s last 12.
Inverness CT
- Scott Kellacher has done an excellent job with Inverness CT, who sit top of League One 2025/2026 with 53 points from 28 games, seven ahead of Alloa in third with 46 points from 29.
- Inverness’ patient build-up style is clear when watching them, they dominate possession, overload the centre of the pitch and create chances.
- They concede just 0.64 goals per match on the road, winning seven, drawing four and losing just three in League One 2025/2026.
- Alfie Bavidge has been CT’s main scoring threat, having scored 10 goals in 28 games in the league, but Jordan Alonge has found form recently, scoring three of their last seven.
Head-to-Head
- Inverness CT are unbeaten in five, W2, D3, while Alloa Athletic have lost their last two.
- Inverness CT won the last head-to-head meeting in League One 2025/2026 between the two sides 3-1 at home 7 weeks ago.
Key Players
- Callum Burnside - a major goal threat for Alloa, with nine league goals this season.
- Alfie Bavidge - Inverness’ leading scorer with 10 league goals in 28 appearances.
Betting Insights
Inverness CT to win at 1.66 is my main selection for this high-stakes League One clash, while 1.77 for Both Teams to Score seems attractive given the importance of the game and how the two clubs set up.
Prediction
I think Kellacher’s team, who have turned tight games into positive results in recent weeks, are more likely to find a way to win this than the hosts, but Alloa’s home form and the goals of Burnside suggest both teams will score .
