Alianza Lima
- Alianza Lima have won 3 and drawn 2 of their last 5 Liga 1 - Apertura matches.
- Alianza Lima are unbeaten in 5 Liga 1 - Apertura fixtures and have won their only 2 home matches of the season.
- Pablo Guede took over at Alianza Lima in December 2025 and has made his mark on the team in a short period of time.
- Alianza are a very busy, mobile 4-3-3 side that tries to stifle opponents with pressing and transitions, as well as suffocating them with width and tempo when they have the ball.
- Their home results have been 2 wins and a draw from their 3 most recent games at Matute, but they have yet to win any of their last 3 against Melgar in the capital.
FBC Melgar Arequipa
- FBC Melgar Arequipa have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games.
- They are happy to sit in a block, man-mark and press selectively when required, then looking to absorb pressure and hit on the counter.
- Bernardo Cuesta, FBC Melgar Arequipa’s star striker, has scored 3 goals in 5 games in Liga 1 - Apertura so far, providing a consistent outlet as his team have scored ten times in total across all competitions in that time.
- FBC Melgar Arequipa average 1.5 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per away match in the Apertura, which indicates a level of vulnerability.
Head-to-Head
- The last meeting at Matute finished 2-2 in Liga 1 2025 only 4 months ago, but we feel Alianza will have the edge in this one given they haven’t lost in 5 games and they’ve conceded just one goal in two home matches at the Matute.
- Melgar have suffered a 1-2 home defeat to Los Chankas CYC in Liga 1 - Apertura and gained a 1-1 away draw with Cienciano Cusco in the Copa Sudamericana Qualification.
Key Players
Bernardo Cuesta, FBC Melgar Arequipa ’s star striker, has scored 3 goals in 5 games in Liga 1 - Apertura so far, providing a consistent outlet as his team have scored ten times in total across all competitions in that time.
Betting Insights
- The odds for an Alianza Lima home win are very short at 1.63, so we’re looking at goals in this game as the home team won’t want to give Melgar anything.
- Both teams to score is set at 2.03, which seems fair despite Melgar's vulnerability at the back.
- But, given Alianza Lima’s intensity and Melgar’s ability to hit on the break, we think this will be a cagey affair, so under 2.5 goals is our primary bet at 1.69.
Prediction
- We feel Alianza will have the edge in this one given they haven’t lost in 5 games and they’ve conceded just one goal in two home matches at the Matute.
- But, given Alianza Lima’s intensity and Melgar’s ability to hit on the break, we think this will be a cagey affair, so under 2.5 goals is our primary bet at 1.69.
