AEK Athens (home)
- AEK Athens should prove too strong for PAE APS Atromitos Athens at home in Sunday’s Super League 2025-2026 matchup, according to our AEK Athens vs PAE APS Atromitos Athens prediction.
- This fixture will feature two very different styles of football because Marko Nikolić sets up his team in a rigid and controlled system that allows them to dictate the pace and dominate possession against most teams in Greece.
- The hosts have enough tactical flexibility to press and counter-press when out of possession and they have the players to play a possession game when they want to build the pressure on their opponents.
- AEK will play in a 4-2-3-1 or hybrid formation in which they overload the wide areas and allow Orbelín Pineda and Razvan Marin to dictate in midfield, as well as provide some defensive cover.
- Marin has done both in recent weeks, but Pineda is still working on his fitness in a system in which Luka Jović is the main goal threat. Considering this, our AEK Athens vs PAE APS Atromitos Athens betting tips suggest backing the hosts.
Atromitos (away)
- Thomas Strakosha has kept multiple clean sheets in November while Nikolić’s men have been strong enough at the back to not concede many goals.
- In other words, the combination of possession, pressing, goals and defence has put AEK third in the Stoiximan Super League heading into this weekend with 25-28 points from their first 10-11 games - well in the mix to finish in the top three and secure European qualification for 2026-27.
- Atromitos are in the 10th-11th spot with eight to ten points on the board and in danger of sliding down the table into a relegation battle unless they can turn their form around soon, and our AEK Athens vs PAE APS Atromitos Athens betting tips indicate it will be tough for them this time.
- New boss Dušan Kerkez has put together a compact, disciplined 4-2-3-1 side that sits deep and tries to hit teams on the break.
- Kerkez has been working on his team’s ability to hold their shape in a deep block and to counter with some pace and penetration from wide areas and via target man Ognjen Ožegović.
- The visitors are likely to get forward when they can, but AEK’s game plan will be to starve them of the ball and Atromitos’ defensive game plan will leave plenty of space for the likes of Pineda and Marin to probe.
Head-to-Head
- AEK Athens are unbeaten in five games in all competitions, winning four and drawing one.
- AEK Athens have won 26 of their 42 - 44 competitive games with Atromitos, winning three of the last three and losing none.
AEK Athens
- Orbelín Pineda - midfield driver, still building fitness.
- Razvan Marin - defensive cover and ball progressor.
- Luka Jović - main goal threat.
Atromitos
- Ognjen Ožegović - target man for counters.
- Peter Michorl - work-rate and creativity in midfield.
- Makana Baku - provides width, pace and outlet on the counter.
Betting Insights
The hosts are the clear favourites at 1.28 with Atromitos around 8.0 and the draw at 5.05 . The AEK Athens vs PAE APS Atromitos Athens betting tips strongly reflect this market confidence in AEK Athens’ home advantage.
Prediction
- Kerkez’s men will need a spark to win this game and they have had a new-manager bounce recently.
- The quality difference in the two squads is a factor and AEK’s home form points to a victory in which the home team covers the goal expectation on their own.
- Over 2.5 goals looks appealing given Atromitos’ deep block, set-piece potential and AEK’s ability to find a couple of goals.
- Although they are heavy favourites, AEK Athens have the all-round quality to win comfortably.
