Parma
- Parma are 14th in Serie A (21 points from 19 games).
- AC Parma (0-2 at home by Inter) and Genoa (1-1 at AC Milan) each recovered from their respective recent home setbacks to take positive results away in their previous matches (Parma 2-1 at Lecce).
- Parma have been inconsistent at home (W2, D3, L5).
- Parma have scored an average of 0.70 goals for and 1.30 goals against at home in Serie A this term.
Genoa
- Genoa are 15th in Serie A (19 points from 20 games).
- In contrast, Daniele De Rossi’s Genoa is a pragmatic, defense-first 4-3-3 system which focuses on compactness, selective pressing and counterattacking at pace.
- Genoa have been unconvincing away from the Stadio Luigi Ferraris (W2, D3, L4).
- Genoa have scored 1.44 goals per away game in Serie A this campaign (W2, D3, L4).
Key Players
- Mateo Pellegrino has been Parma’s standout player in Serie A this season (6 goals in 19 games) and he has scored two of his side’s last three goals.
- Lorenzo Colombo is in red-hot form for Genoa with five Serie A goals this season and he has also scored three of his team’s last six goals.
Betting Insights
Given the even odds for both sides at 2.94 and draw at 2.58 , we feel that going under 2.5 goals is the best play at 1.5 .
Prediction
- We’re expecting a close, cagey match on Sunday, with Genoa’s defence-first approach facing off against Parma’s compact and disciplined play.
- The home side will try to suffocate Genoa in the midfield and win the game in the transitions, however, Genoa may well sit deep and counter Parma.
