Select Odds Display Type
  • +125 US
  • 6/9 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
AC Milan logo
1 - 1
Full-Time
Genoa logo
Serie A
Italy
/
Serie A
/
San Siro

vs
Preview

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AC Milan vs Genoa Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    1.47
    1X2
    AC Milan
    Lost
    Explanation
    • AC Milan has 11 wins this season and 6 home victories, showing clear strength when playing at home.
    • In their last 5 matches AC Milan won 4 times, including convincing 3-0 and 1-0 home performances recently.
    • Head-to-head: AC Milan is unbeaten in the last 4 vs Genoa with two wins and two draws, giving them an edge.
  • Tipped at
    2.09
    Over/Under
    Over 2.5
    Lost
    Explanation
    • AC Milan's home games average 2.56 total goals, so fixtures at their ground often produce more than 2.5 goals.
    • Genoa's away matches average 3.38 total goals and they concede heavily away, increasing the match goal count.
    • Recent head-to-heads include high-scoring games like 3-3 and 2-1, pointing to another open, goal-filled match.
  • Tipped at
    2.21
    Both Teams To Score
    Yes
    Won
    Explanation
    • Genoa has both teams scoring in 63.16% of their games and 88.89% of away matches, so they usually see BTTS.
    • AC Milan records BTTS in 44.44% overall and 50% at home, meaning they often score while still conceding goals.
    • Head-to-heads show both teams scoring (2-1, 3-3), so historical meetings suggest both sides are likely to find net.

Predictions

AC Milan

  • AC Milan have won three of their last five Serie A games, drawing once and losing just once.
  • Milan are the Serie A leaders with 38 points from 17 matches and the consistency they are showing in 2025-2026 is a strong indication that they could be genuine title contenders.
  • Luka Modrić’s ability to control the midfield tempo and link up the defence with the attack has been a key factor for the Rossoneri, and Rafael Leão provides the creative spark and pace on the flanks, stretching the defense and creating space for others.

Genoa

  • Genoa have lost three of their last five Serie A matches (W1, D1).
  • Daniele De Rossi has faced an uphill battle to steady Genoa’s slide down the Serie A standings, but his early tenure at the helm of the Rossoblu has been encouraging with a continued emphasis on keeping the team’s attacking identity and set-up.
  • De Rossi has tightened up the squad defensively and their results have been better with Genoa playing more proactively, but they remain 17th with 15 points from 18, coming into the upcoming Thursday night match.
  • Leo Oestigard has been Genoa’s top scorer this season with 3 goals from the back, a rarity for a defender, but a sign that the team are struggling to create in the final third.
  • Albert Guðmundsson’s creativity and set-piece threat have been a rare bright spot for Genoa in the final third, but it might not be enough to get them through this tough game.

Head-to-Head

AC Milan have not beaten Genoa at home in their last two attempts and could face another banana skin in the form of Genoa on Thursday.


Key Players

  • Luka Modrić’s ability to control the midfield tempo and link up the defence with the attack has been a key factor for the Rossoneri.
  • Rafael Leão provides the creative spark and pace on the flanks, stretching the defense and creating space for others.
  • Christian Pulisic has been AC Milan’s talisman in Serie A 2025-2026 with eight goals in 12 appearances, three of which have come in the last five games.
  • Leo Oestigard has been Genoa’s top scorer this season with 3 goals from the back.
  • Albert Guðmundsson’s creativity and set-piece threat have been a rare bright spot for Genoa in the final third.

Betting Insights

  • Our main selection for this match is to take the AC Milan team odds of 1.48, which are very short, but given Genoa’s odds of 8.05, the Rossoneri are definitely the favorites here.
  • With Genoa conceding 15 goals in eight away games, over 2.5 goals at 2.09 seems like a good play.

Prediction

  • AC Milan should dominate.
  • With Christian Pulisic on form, they should have the firepower to defeat Genoa and keep them in the drop zone for another week.
AC Milan logo

Last 33 H2H matches

  • 20
    Won
  • 7
    Draw
  • 6
    Won
Genoa logo

Last Matches

Live Stats

Live Stats

  • Possession
    61
    39
  • Total Shots
    30
    5
  • Shots On Target
    8
    2
  • Shots Off Target
    7
    3
  • Corners
    12
    1
  • Crosses
    25
    7
  • Yellow Cards
    4
    1
  • Red Cards
    0
    0
  • Free Kicks
    9
    13
  • Offsides
    1
    1
  • Fouls Committed
    12
    8
  • Counterattacks
    1
    0
  • GK Saves
    1
    7
  • Goal Kicks
    5
    11
  • Throw Ins
    17
    12
  • Treatments
    1
    0
  • Substitutions
    3
    5

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FAQ

  • AC Milan vs Genoa – Which team has the stronger record over their last 5 matches?

    Over their last 5 matches, AC Milan have tallied 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses. In the same span, Genoa have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats.

  • Who got on the scoresheet in the most recent AC Milan vs Genoa fixture?

    During the last AC Milan vs Genoa encounter, the goals came from Athekame Zachary, Christopher Nkunku, Johan Felipe Vasquez Ibarra.

  • Who are the leading goal-getters for AC Milan and Genoa in this Serie A 2025/2026 season?

    In the Serie A 2025/2026, Rafael Leao leads the scoring for AC Milan with 9 goals, while Lorenzo Colombo tops the charts for Genoa with 7 goals.

  • Who leads defensively this Serie A 2025/2026 season – AC Milan or Genoa?

    The Serie A 2025/2026’s best defence belongs to AC Milan, who have shipped just 35 goals in 38 matches and kept 15 clean sheets. Their average goals conceded per game stands at only 0.92.

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Stats

  • Goals Scored logo
  • Goals (ø)
  • 1st Half Goals
  • 2nd Half Goals
  • Early Goals (1'-10')
  • Late Goals (+85')
  • Penalty Goals
  • Headed Goals
  • Free Kick Goals
5
Team Logo AC Milan
53 38
16
Team Logo Genoa
41 38

Player Statistics

Name
Rafael Leao
9 3 5 0 29 1850
Christian Pulisic
8 4 0 0 30 1610
Christopher Nkunku
7 3 0 0 32 1354
Adrien Rabiot
6 4 5 1 29 2550
Strahinja Pavlovic
5 1 4 0 34 2869

Serie A Standings

5
The AC Milan logo
38 20 10 8 53:35 70
16
The Genoa logo
38 10 11 17 41:51 41
Glossary
  • MP: Matches Played
  • W: Wins
  • D: Draws
  • L: Losses
  • G: Goals
  • P: Points

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