Sarpsborg 08 (home)
- The main reason we’re expecting goals in Sunday’s contest is the contrast in styles between Sarpsborg and Molde.
- Sarpsborg are a counter-attacking side that defend compactly in a 4-2-3-1 system, while Molde play a structured possession game and will look to control this matchup through the midfield.
- Molde have the better overall record against Sarpsborg, but the home team have the wind in their sails right now and will be a good bet with the home advantage at Sarpsborg Stadion, according to our Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde FK betting tips.
- The forecast is for cold and wet conditions, which can make the playing surface slick and unpredictable, favouring the more direct and physical side.
- Sarpsborg’s keeper Mamour Ndiaye has kept them in games recently, but they’ve also conceded plenty of goals in defeats to Tromsø and Bodø/Glimt.
Molde (away)
- Molde FK arrive for this late-season Eliteserien clash with Sarpsborg 08 on the back of an excellent three-game winning run, which has seen them dismantle Brann (4-0), Haugesund (2-0) and Rosenborg (4-2).
- Brann (4-0)
- Haugesund (2-0)
- Rosenborg (4-2)
- However, Molde’s season has been a rollercoaster ride and they’ve been working under an interim coach since September, so this could be another up-and-down game for the most unpredictable team in Norway, as highlighted in our Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde FK betting tips.
Head-to-Head
- Molde have a slight historical edge in head-to-head meetings between the two clubs.
- Sarpsborg 08 stunned Molde 2 - 0 away from home in March 2025.
Key Players
- Sarpsborg manager Martin Foyston has brought an energy and directness to the club since his appointment in September, which has played into the strengths of his main attacking threat Daniel Karlsbakk.
- Daniel Karlsbakk scored twice against Molde in March and has been consistently challenging for the league’s top scorer title.
- Frederik A. Gulbrandsen has been a reliable goal-getter for Molde this term, supported by creative midfielders like Eirik Hestad and Emil Breivik.
- Jacob Karlström has been solid in goal, but injuries and tactical changes have meant Molde have been forced to shuffle their defence, which can be exploited by the hosts.
Betting Insights
- The bookmakers have Molde as narrow favourites for this clash at 2.42, while they rate Sarpsborg at 2.69 with the draw 3.81. The Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde FK prediction is finely balanced as a result.
- We’re sticking with the low odds available in the Over 2.5 Goals market (1.38) and the draw looks like the most likely result in the final score bet.
Prediction
- Molde currently sit one point ahead of Sarpsborg, 39 to 38 in the table, making this a critical late-season matchup for both clubs.
- Expect a tight, nervy game with goals; a draw and Over 2.5 Goals are the preferred outcomes.
