Plymouth Argyle FC

vs

Burton Albion

Preview

Plymouth Argyle (home)

• Plymouth Argyle sit 21st with 26 points from 23 games.
• Plymouth are priced as slight favourites at 2.13.
• Home advantage should help as Burton have won just three of ten away trips this season (D4, L3).
• Plymouth have a mediocre home record and have averaged 0.92 goals per game at Home Park this season.
• They have been in good form overall recently but have stumbled at home over their last three (W1, D1, L1).
• Tom Cleverley has changed the club’s ethos since taking charge and the team plays a possession-first, adaptable system.

Burton Albion (away)

• Burton Albion are 18th with 27 points from 22 games.
• Burton are priced at 3.31 to win.
• Burton have failed to win on their last two visits to Home Park (D1, L1).
• The Brewers have won just one of their last five League One games (D2, L2).
• Gary Bowyer has stabilised the side since December 2024 with a more pragmatic, compact approach.
• Burton’s away games average 2.40 total goals per game this term, with 1.20 goals scored and conceded on the road.

Head-to-Head

• Plymouth have won two and drawn one of their last three League One meetings with Burton.
• Recent H2H and home advantage suggest a narrow edge to Plymouth.

Key Players

• Lorent Tolaj - 11 goals in 20 appearances; has scored four of Plymouth’s last nine.
• Jake Beesley - 7 goals in 22 League One appearances for Burton.
• Tyrese Shade - has scored three of Burton’s last six and is in hot form.

Betting Insights

• Odds: Plymouth 2.13, Burton 3.31.
• The Both Teams To Score market is favoured at 1.77, indicating an open game.
• Given Burton’s away goals averages and Plymouth’s home scoring struggles, expect an open contest with chances for both sides.

Prediction

• Plymouth to nick it in what should be a competitive game.
• We’re tipping the hosts to edge this fixture, with Both Teams To Score looking likely.